Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans
LP Field – Nashville, Tennessee
Sunday October 30 – 1:00Moneyline: Tennessee -445, Indianapolis +355
Spread (ATS): Tennessee -10
Odds courtesy of 5Dimes
The Indianapolis Colts are one of three winless teams in the NFL; and if recent performance was the only indicator they are the worst one. The only hope for this team is the old adage that you are never as bad as your worst game, which was a 62-7 hammering by New Orleans last weekend. This team has to still be reeling a bit but the Titans are definitely feeling a little wobbly too.
Everything went wrong last week for the Colts – EVERYTHING. This week will pose a challenge too but the defense should be able to catch their breath against a Tennessee team that was pretty awful last week. The key will be keeping their running game in check. As bad as they have been this team has been close to winning on multiple occasions. They need somebody, anybody to step up and make a play at winning time.
When Peyton Manning was at the helm the Colts had little trouble with Tennessee, winning 5 in a row against their division rivals. Perhaps some of that familiarity will be helpful on Sunday. At +10 I think there is some value on Indy but you have to be comfortable betting with a team that might be the worst in football this season. That is a fair amount of faith.
Tennessee’s performance last week against Houston was surprising. Not that they lost the game but that they were never really in it. This team is sitting at 3-3 but it is hard to gauge their level. Are they the team that hammered Baltimore in week 2 or the team that got throttled last week? One question that is easy to answer is whether investing in Chris Johnson was smart. Nope.
After holding out for big bucks, and getting them, running back Chris Johnson has been a complete bust this year. Tennessee is not blessed with a lot of weapons and now that star receiver Kenny Britt is out for the season they need Johnson more than ever. He has had only one game all season long where he has averaged more than 4 yards per carry. If he can’t get it done against Indy than his and the team’s problem become even bigger.
If Tennessee wants to stay in the playoff race they have to win on Sunday. If they want to avoid the embarrassment of losing to a horrible team they have to win on Sunday. You wouldn’t think it given the opponent but there is actually some pressure on them in this spot. I think they are going to wilt but not collapse. They will win but it will be closer than it should be.
ATS Pick: Indianapolis +10
Over/Under Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Tennessee 27 – Indianapolis 24