2014 Cappers NFL Database Trends
This week might as well be called rematch week with 11 such games on the schedule. The best of that group are listed below as well as some thoughts on which way to play them. Some numbers you should hit right now and others you may want to wait.
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Let’s have a look at some of the key games coming up in Week 15.
Arizona vs. St. Louis
Thursday December 11
8:30PM
Edward Jones Dome – St. Louis, MO
Rams -4
Arizona
* Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
* Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
vOver is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 games in Week 15.
St. Louis
* Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Rams are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Rams are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Head to Head
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in St. Louis.
Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
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The Rams are playing some good ball but I still don’t want to trust them too much. The Cards need to keep winning and I think they get this one. Good value as an underdog.
Houston vs. Indianapolis
Sunday December 14
1:00PM
Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN
Colts -7, 44
Houston
* Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games in December.
* Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
Indianapolis
* Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games in December.
* Colts are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Head to Head
* Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Indianapolis.
* Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Indianapolis.
* Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
When the number is 7 it is always tricky. I think the Colts can get their offense back in gear at home and that a desperate Texans team won’t be able to keep pace.
Cincinnati vs. Cleveland
Sunday December 14
1:00PM
FirstEnergy Stadium – Cleveland, OH
PK, 44
Cincinnati
* Over is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games in December.
* Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 road games.
* Under is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cleveland
* Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC North.
* Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Browns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Head to Head
* Bengals are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
* Underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
* Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
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Both teams are coming off losses. I like the better one, the Bengals, to bounce back and exact some revenge at the same time. At a pick this one is a steal.
Miami vs. New England
Sunday December 14
1:00PM
Gillette Stadium – Foxboro, MA
Patriots -7.5, 48.5
Miami
* Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
* Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
* Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 games in December.
New England
* Patriots are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Patriots are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
vPatriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Head to Head
* Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
I think the Patriots are going to roll in this one. They should be motivated on a lot of fronts and are catching the Dolphins at a down moment. This one could be ugly.
Denver vs. San Diego
Sunday December 14
4:05PM
Qualcomm Stadium – San Diego, CA
Broncos -4.5, 50.5
Denver
* Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
* Broncos are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC West.
* Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
San Diego
* Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC West.
* Chargers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Head to Head
* Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Diego.
* Broncos are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 meetings.
* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
This is a sweet number to get the Broncos at. In sunny San Diego they should have no trouble getting their offense going and the Chargers are on a down note. It is probably going to climb so don’t wait.
San Francisco vs. Seattle
Sunday December 14
4.25PM
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, WA
Seahawks -10.5, 38
San Francisco
* Under is 6-0 in 49ers last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
* Under is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games overall.
Seattle
* Under is 7-0 in Seahawks last 7 games in December.
* Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 7-1 in Seahawks last 8 vs. NFC West.
Head to Head
* 49ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
* 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Seattle.
Huge number here and I just can’t get my head around it. Seattle can be deadly at home but I have to think the 49ers will at least put up some sort of a fight here. No value on SEA so take SF.
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Dallas vs. Philadelphia
Sunday December 14
8:30PM
Lincoln Financial Field
Eagles -3.5, 55
Dallas
* Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
* Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 road games.
Philadelphia
* Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
* Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games in Week 15.
* Over is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Head to Head
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Loving the Eagles to do another number on the Cowboys, this time at home. They owned Dallas on Thanksgiving and we can expect more of the same. You can tease it down to 3 to be smart but you won’t have to.
Check out our Updated NFL Week 15 Odds.
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