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Jaguars vs. Colts 2011 Week 10 NFL Betting Preview

Week 10 Jacksonville vs Indianapolis NFL Free Pick – Odds – Handicapping

It is not hard to believe that a game between Jacksonville and Indianapolis is creating a bit of a buzz. What is hard to believe is the fact that the buzz surrounds the possibility of the Colts getting their first win of the season in Week 10!

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (2-6) vs. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (0-9)
Date/Time: Sunday, November 13, 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Broadcast: CBS
Jags vs. Colts Betting Lines from betonline.com
Spread: Jaguars -3
Moneyline: Jaguars -170: Colts +150
Over/Under: 38 points

The league’s worst offense does battle with the NFL’s worst defense on Sunday in what could turn out to be the dud game of the weekend!

The Jacksonville Jaguars have seen the peaks and valleys over the last two games. Before their bye the Jags somehow beat terrific Baltimore team on Monday night only to follow it up with a less than inspiring effort in a loss against Houston. Jacksonville has perhaps the best weapon in this contest – Maurice Jones-Drew should have his way against a terrible Indianapolis run defense!

Jacksonville owns the worst passing offense (123.63 yards per game) and the worst scoring offense (12.25 points per game) in the NFL. Blaine Gabbert looks like a rookie, has completed just 45% of his passes this season and is averaging 111 yards per game. Wow! It’s a good thing for the running game. They are 12th in the NFL and are averaging 112 yards per game and have the 5th best rusher in the league – MJD (740 yards).

Jacksonville’s defense has been a strength of the team as well and should pose a lot of problems for the inept Indianapolis offense. They are 8th against the pass ( 197 yards per game), 12th against the run (110 yards per game) and they give up the 8th least points per game in the NFL (20.38).

Ugh! What can you say about the Indianapolis Colts? They have lost their first nine games this season – their last four by at least 10 points, there are questions about who is better suited to play quarterback and there is absolutely no defense to speak of! Yet there is still some optimism that Indy can get their first win on Sunday?

Is it Curtis Painter or is it Dan Orlovsky? Either way, the league’s 28th ranked passing offense is stuck in the mud. Neither guy seems able to get the quality stable of receivers the ball! At least there is a decent running game right? Nope- the Colts are 23rd, are banged up and their best hope lies with Donald Brown – a back that has never shown that he can shoulder the load.

The Colts defense has been terrible – 24th versus the pass (260 yards per game) 31st against the run (146.11 yards per game) and they are worst in points allowed (31.44 points per game). The Colts are 2nd last in total defense and give up 406.1 yards per game. Ugly, I know!

Betting Prediction: The Jacksonville Jaguars are 1-6 SU in their last seven games and are 3-8 ATS in their last 11. The Jags are 1-5 ATS on the road and are 1-5 SU in their last five trips to Indianapolis. The Indianapolis Colts are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games against Jacksonville and are 4-1 ATS in their last five at home versus the Jags. The Colts are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games and are just 2-5 ATS at home overall and at home against Jacksonville.

Scoring is going to be at a premium in this game. Jacksonville has been a poor road team lately and there is a school of thought that the Colts are not really as bad as their record. I don’t buy it! The Colts defense isn’t stopping anybody and now is faced with the prospect of slowing Maurice Jones-Drew, a running back that always saves his best for the Colts. MJD will be the difference in this one – worry not Indy fans, you are still the leader in the race for Andrew Luck!

Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -3

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About DaveB

Dave B has been a Fantasy Football writer for us for 10 years. A couch potato wannabe, Dave’s insights have been read by 10’s of people for years. He hope’s for world peace + global relaxation. Enjoy and remember only smoke things that are completely natural.


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