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Free Pick: Dolphins vs. Broncos NFL Lines & Handicapping Preview

Week 12:  Miami vs Denver Predictions

NFL Week #12 betting action sees the Miami Dolphins taking on the Denver Broncos on Sunday  November 23 at the Sports Authority Field in Denver, Colorado.  Cappers Picks provides free NFL handicapping tips all season long.

The Broncos will be looking to prove they are among the elite in the AFC. They haven’t looked like it lately.

NFL Week 12 Picks

Miami Dolphins (6-4) vs. Denver Broncos (7-3)
Sunday November 23
4:25PM
Sports Authority Field – Denver, CO
CBS
NFL Betting Lines:  Miami -7
NFL Betting Total:  48
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Miami

This is a huge game for the Dolphins who can scarcely afford too many more losses with som many teams involved in the AFC playoff chase. Their schedule appears to have a few gimmes down the stretch but I am not sure that they are going to be able to get enough wins overall.

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Miami is very stingy on defense but they are going to be tested by Peyton Manning who will come into the game seething I am sure.

The defense is going to have to be strong because they are not built to come from behind.

With Manning looking mortal the last few weeks this one is going to come down to whether they can put pressure on him and force some mistakes.

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That means Cam Wake and Olivier Vernon will need to have strong games applying pressure from the edge.

The Dolphins are sound defensively but they will need to create some turnovers if they want to upset the Broncos like the Rams did last week.

Denver

The Broncos looks like they are going to owe the Raider a debt of gratitude for beating the Chiefs Thursday night.

That opens things up for the Broncos to reclaim first place with a win, setting up a monster contest at Kansas City next week. Denver should be happy to return home after three straight on the road. They are a perfect 5-0 at home this season and no team has played them within a TD…not even Arizona.

Expect a strong performance by the guys in Orange.

I read that thanks to Peyton Manning nerve condition he would be bound to fade in the later half of season as it would affect his strength.

I am not saying that is what is happening but he has thrown 2 interceptions in every game in the second half this year.

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It is no doubt hurting him that they can not run the ball because he is at his best when he can sprinkle in the run, no matter how it may look.

This could be another spot to fade the Broncs.

NFL Handicapping Trends:

  • Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 12.
  • Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
  • Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games on grass.
  • Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. AFC.
  • Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

NFL Prediction:  Denver -7

I am expecting a big rebound by the Broncos in this one. The Dolphins will begin their slide out of contention.

4* FREE NFL Score prediction:  Denver 38 – Miami 17

The over is good too.

Check out our Updated NFL Week 12 Odds.

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.