NFL Handicapping – Bills vs Browns Betting Spread / Matchup
The Bills are coming off their first win of the season where they looked solid on both sides of the ball.
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Venue/ Stadium: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, September 23, 2012
NFL Odds From: TopBet
Moneyline: Bills -140 / Browns +120
Spread: Bills -3
Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns Preview
While the Browns lost their last game and are 0-2 they got good performances for their 2 first round draft picks with Brandon Weeden passing for over 300 yards and Trent Richardson rushing for over 100 yards. Still, the Cleveland defense is still pretty weak, which is why NFL lines have the Bills as 3-point away favorites with a total of 44.5.
In their last games the Bills beat the Kansas City Chiefs 35-17 while the Browns lost to the Cincinnati Bengals 34-27.
This season the Browns are 1-0-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1 and the Bills are 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-0.
Weeden was an impressive 26/37 for 322 yards with 2 TD, and more importantly, no picks against the Bengals and while the WR corps has not big names they came up big last week.
Richardson had his first 100-yard rushing game in the loss to Cincy and averaged 5.7 yards per carry. The Browns do have a solid offensive line and they will attempt to establish the run in this game so Weeden does not have to carry the offense. The Bills’ defense did not play well in the KC win, but they did force 3 turnovers and their pass defense had 5 sacks. Overall, they only rank 23rd in the league defending the pass and 24th defending the run.
The Browns defense will get a heavy dose of Bills’ RB C.J. Spiller in this game, as he leads the NFL in rushing yards. He tore up the Chiefs on the ground and the Browns and their 18th ranked run defense will have their hands full.
Ryan Fitzpatrick has been so-so this season, but he may have a big game facing a shorthanded Browns’ secondary. The Browns need to cut down on their penalties, as they had 10 last week for 103 yards.
The Browns also need to have god special teams play, as Buffalo’s Leodis McKelvin leads the league with a 31.3 punt return average and he returned a punt for 88 yards for a TD against the Chiefs.
In some betting trends for this AFC match up the Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they have an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
The Browns are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they have an Under record of their last 6 home games.
Jason’s Pick: The Browns have their issues, but something tells me their rookies will have another solid game and they will win their first game of the season this Sunday.