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2011 NFL Gambling: Lines | Week 16 Matchups & Predictions

Dave Schwab weighs in on the second week of the NFL 2011 season. A brief review of the current Week 16 point spreads and NFL Week 16 over/under lines for all the games being featured in Week Sixteen…

2011 Week 16 NFL Gambling Lines: Top 3 Matchups and Predictions

The road teams got the best of it in Week 15 in the NFL with nine teams covering against the spread. There were six home teams that covered and one game ended in a ‘push’. The underdogs had a slight edge with eight teams winning ATS verse six favorites along with one ‘push’.

Turning to the total line, nine games went ‘over’, six stayed ‘under’, and there was one ‘push’.

My top picks for Week 15 did not fair so well with a 1-2 record overall.

In an effort to dole out some early Christmas gifts, I decided to get a jump on crunching the numbers to uncover the top three plays for Week 16 in the NFL.

All odds quoted are courtesy of JustBet.com.

Saturday, December 24

Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-1)

The Raiders have lost three straight games but at 7-7 straight-up (8-5-1 against the spread) they are still in excellent position to win the AFC West if they can string together two wins to close-out the season. Oakland’s defense has been the primary culprit during the slide; giving-up 108 points.

Kansas City is still alive in the division race at 6-8 SU (8-6 ATS) after knocking Green Bay from the ranks of the undefeated last Sunday with a 19-14 win as an 11-point home underdog. The Chiefs’ defense has actually picked-up the slack for a less-than-effective offense over the past few weeks.

The road team in this series is 20-5-1 ATS over the last 26 meetings and the underdog is 18-7-1 ATS during the same span of games. Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to Kansas City. The Pick: Oakland 23 vs. Kansas City 20

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens (-13.5)

The Browns have once again played true to form this season with just one win in their last eight games and an overall record of 4-10 SU and 5-7-2 ATS. Their offense is ranked 30th in the NFL in scoring with an average of 13.9 points a game and their defense is ranked 31st against the run.

Baltimore’s 34-14 loss to San Diego last Sunday as a one-point road favorite dropped it to 10-4 SU (7-6-1 ATS) on the year and it is still tied with Pittsburgh for the lead in the AFC North. The Ravens’ offense is ranked 12th in scoring and 15th in rushing yards per game.

Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC North, while the Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against the division. The favorite in this series is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the Browns are 1-6 ATS in the last seven games. The Pick: Baltimore 27 vs. Cleveland 10

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots (-9.5)

Miami started the season 0-7, but has been able to turn things around with a 5-2 record SU over its last seven games. It is 5-9 SU overall, but a solid 7-6-1 ATS. Even though this team has been riding out the string since early fall, do not expect it to start lying down now, especially against a division opponent.

The Patriots are in the driver seat for the No.1 seed in the AFC with the combination of last Sunday’s 41-23 romp over Denver as seven-point road favorites with losses by Houston, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh. They have now won six straight games on their way to an 11-3 record SU (8-6 ATS).

The Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last four against the AFC. The Patriots are 5-1 SU at home this season, but just 3-3 ATS. The road team in this series is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Pick: New England 31 vs. Miami 24

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.