NCAA Week 6 Betting – Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes
It is not the glamorous rivalry it once was. But it still carries some importance. On Saturday the Florida State Seminoles (3-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) will visit the southern part of the state when they square off against the Miami Hurricanes (2-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) in Atlantic Coast Conference action that is slated to get underway at 3:30 PM ET at Dolphin Stadium (natural turf) in Miami.
Saturday, October 4
BetUS NCAAF Betting Odds: MIAMI -2.5, Total 42
Here are some of the NCAAF online betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
*S FSU is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games
* FSU has lost four of its last five road games SU
* FSU has played four of its last five road games OVER the total
* MIA has lost six of its last eight road games SU
* MIA has won 11 of its last 16 home games SU
* MIA has lost four of its last five home games SU
Also….
* MIA has covered seven of the last ten meetings
* MIA has won seven of the last nine meetings SU
* Six of the last seven meetings have gone UNDER the total
* FSU has covered four of the last six meetings as the road team
Remember those days when this game, almost on a yearly basis, played a big part in determining the national champion? I do,because I was there for most of that time. Well, those days are obviously gone. But that does not mean this isn’t a very interesting betting proposition.
Sophomore Christian Ponder has struggled a great deal with his accuracy (16 for 38 the last two weeks), and his fellow soph, D’Vontrey Richardson, was last seen going 6 for 18 against Wake Forest. That’s a shame, because they have genuine receiving talent in Greg Carr, who’s going to be an NFL draft pick, and Corey Surrency, a 6’5″ burner who could possibly wind up a first-rounder but who they’re not even throwing to. On a very encouraging note, Antoine Smith had 154 yards rushing against Colorado, and he’s another guy who is much better than his usage level. There seems like a pattern here, and it can be traced to offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher.
Miami’s quarterback, Robert Marve, seems to progressing relatively well. He’s 44th in the NCAA passing rankings, having completed almost 66% of his passes, and Graig Cooper (291 yards) has filled in nicely in the absence of Jarvarris James. But there are no other-wordly talents on the Miami offense, the way there have been in past seasons. And the come-from-ahead loss at home to a North Carolina team, headed by former Hurricane coach Butch Davis, that was using their third-string quarterback in the game, is hardly anything encouraging.
Seriously, Florida State looks like the team that is closest to being Top 25-caliber. But can their QB’s be trusted on the road? We’re really not sure about that.
What we ARE sure of, however, is that these teams have lots of quickness on the defensive side of the ball. Miami put forth a strong effort at Gainesville against Florida, even though the final score looked like a semi-blowout. The ‘Canes are giving up just two yards a rush. FSU is surrendering a little less than that. These games have often settled into defensive struggles (six of last seven have gone under). We’ll go that way too. It’s UNDER 42 points in the BetUS NCAA football betting odds.
