Stanford Cardinal at Washington Huskies
Ty Willingham, who is really feeling the hot seat right now, will lead his Washington Huskies (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) against the Stanford Cardinal (2-2 SU & ATS) in a Pac-10 matchup that is scheduled to take place at 10 PM ET at Husky Stadium (artificial turf) in Seattle.
Saturday, September 27
BetUS NCAA Betting Odds: WASHINGTON -3.5
Here are some of the NCAA football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* STAN has covered three of its last nine games
* STAN has lost 18 of its last 25 games SU
* STAN has played 19 of its last 25 games UNDER the total
* STAN has lost four of its last five road games SU
* STAN has covered one of its last five road games
* STAN has played nine of its last 11 road games UNDER the total
* WASH has lost its last five games SU
* WASH has played eight of its last 11 games OVER the total
* WASH has covered eight of its last 25 home games
* WASH has lost seven of its last eight home games SU
* WASH has played its last six home games OVER the total
* WASH has won six of the last eight meetings SU
* Four of the last five meetings have gone UNDER the total
* WASH has won four of the last five meetings SU as the home team
Ty Willingham, who was chased from Notre Dame, is wearing out his welcome at U-Dub. After finishes of 2-9, 5-7 and 4-9, he is off to an 0-3 start that has been punctuated by two embarrassing defeats and a heart-breaking loss to BYU where his team was penalized for an end-zone celebration, then missed a long extra-point try that could have tied the game.
Sophomore quarterback Jake Locker is fleet afoot, and has not thrown an interception in 84 attempts, but he doesn’t necessarily make steady advances through the air (53.6% accuracy). One must afford him the edge, however, over Stanford signal-caller Tavita Pritchard, who has tossed four INT’s and hasn’t thrown a TD pass in the last three games.
Willingham, the former coach at Stanford who left that post to go to Notre Dame, has now beaten his “ex” four times out of five, won 27-9 at Palo Alto last year, but the standout in that game, Louis Rankin, who ran for 255 yards, has graduated. Washington, which ranks 100th in rushing (2.8 yards per carry), hasn’t made up for that loss.
The Huskies are a lousy home favorite, having covered one of their last nine and five of their last 20 in that role. They are being beaten consistently at the line of scrimmage, giving up 5.6 ypc (although they have faced three ranked foes). They are also averaging almost 18 yards gained per points scored, which is substandard. The conclusion is that Locker can not carry the offense by himself. The Huskies have allowed eleven sacks (3.67 per game – 118th in the nation), while not recording a sack themselves. Stanford has actually managed to get to the passer (12 sacks already!).
While this is certainly a step down in level of competition for Washington, this Stanford team is not there to roll over, and they got at least a marginal confidence boost in last week’s win over San Jose State, in which they held the Spartans to just 54 rushing yards. The bottom line is that we just don’t want to lay any points with Washington, which doesn’t even have a home field advantage (1-7 SU last eight), so we’re on the take with Stanford, the 3.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.