Bet on Football – Duke Blue Devils at Army Black Knights
Duke Blue Devils (0-1 SU, 0-0 ATS) at Army Cadets (1-0 SU & ATS)
Saturday, September 12 – Noon ET
They will be playing at Michie Stadium, WEST POINT, NY
BetUS Bet On Football Odds: ARMY -1, Total 42.5
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
DUKE has lost its last six games SU
DUKE has covered four of its last six road games
DUKE has lost 23 of its last 25 road games SU
DUKE has played eight of its last nine road games UNDER the total
ARMY has covered seven of its last ten games
ARMY has lost four of its last five games SU
ARMY has played five of its last six games UNDER the total
ARMY has lost seven of its last nine home games SU
ARMY has played its last six home games UNDER the total
I wonder whether Duke should be so ashamed about its loss to Richmond last week; after all, the Spiders might be the best team in the FCS division, and people who bet on football noticed that Duke did outgain them by a 369-282 margin despite the 24-16 defeat.
It might be useful to do an analysis of what Duke has done on the road. Going into the 2008 season, Duke had lost 43 of its last 46 games away from home, and they took it on the chin from Georgia Tech (27-0), Clemson (31-7) and Virginia Tech (14-3) as the traveler, but the Blue Devils rewarded those football bettors when they picked up a win over bowl-bound Vanderbilt in Nashville, and gave Wake Forest life-and-death in Winston-Salem before succumbing to a 33-30 score.
When David Cutcliffe came to Durham, one of his objectives was to make the offense more dynamic, and improve Thaddeus Lewis, a quarterback who has some abilities. He did that; Lewis completed 62% of his passes last year and had a nice 15-6 TD-INT ratio. Duke has a hard time balancing that with the ability to run, though. The Devils had 19 rushing yards in the opening loss and that is nothing unusual, as they averaged just three yards a carry last season and never more than 3.2 in any of the last five years. Football fans know that any team without a ground game is a difficult proposition.
Coach Rich Ellerson came from Cal Poly, where his teams ran a triple option and also finished second in the FCS in passing efficiency. Judging from what they did in the season-opening win over Eastern Michigan, however, fans who bet on football know they don’t intend to throw the ball very much. Army had Chip Bowden and Carson Williams, but Ellerson has gone with Trent Steelman at quarterback, and he threw it just five times. The Cadets are a team that was strong on the ground last year (241 yards a game) and they look like they should be better in Ellerson’s setup (300 vs. EMU).
When it comes to a bet on football, we’re willing to take a look here at Army, which appears somewhat revitalized and in a better position to control the line of scrimmage than Duke, so we’ll lay a point with the Cadets in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.
OUR PLAY: ARMY -1 ***