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Week 9: Louisiana Tech vs. Boise St. Preview & Pick

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Boise St. Broncos will both be looking to win Saturday at Bronco Stadium. Odds have the Broncos listed as 37½-point favorites the total is 64. Here is a preview and free betting pick…

Week 9: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Boise St. Broncos Free College Football Pick

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Week 9: Louisiana Tech vs Boise State preview & pick

Date: Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Venue Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID
Broadcast: ESPN2
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos Betting Lines from Bodog.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Boise State -37.5
Over/Under: 64.5
Bet Now @ Bodog.com

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-4)

As much as a trip to the blue turf is walking into a buzz saw, these Bulldogs aren’t about to roll over. Louisiana Tech at least has something going for it: offense.

The Bulldogs have shown they can roll up some points and yards; they average 397 total yards per game and have the nation’s 51st-ranked offense. They also have a quarterback who can air it out when he wants to. Ross Jenkins has six touchdown passes and just two picks this season. He also dropped 422 passing yards on Idaho last week.

The problem for Louisiana Tech and the reason why it’s only 3-4 is that it can’t keep opponents off the board. The Bulldogs’ “D” ranks 113th in the nation, allowing just under 450 yards per game. That really doesn’t bode well against Boise State, which boasts the country’s No. 4 offense.

(2) Boise State Broncos (6-0)

It’s BCS title or bust for Boise State this season; well, at least the Broncos see it that way.

So far, so good. Boise State’s list of accolades this season is pretty darned impressive. The No. 2 Broncos have won 20 straight games. Kellen Moore is on fire as always, having thrown for 16 scores in six games this season. In conference play, the Broncos have outscored their opponents 107-0. They’re riding a vicious 48-0 win over San Jose State in which they totalled 535 yards of offense.

What makes the Broncos especially dangerous is that they back up the “O” with powerhouse “D.” Their defense is tops in the country, allowing 210.2 yards per game, and its 12.3 points allowed per game is second best.

The pick:

It’s pretty much a given that Boise State wins this one. The battle for bettors is against the spread rather than Louisiana Tech. Can Boise State cover 37.5 points? I say yes. It has eight straight wins over Louisiana Tech and, in their last four meetings at Boise State, the Broncos’ average victory margin is 36 points. The Bulldogs may find pay dirt once or twice thanks to their above-average offense but their pathetic defense should get lit up like a Christmas tree tonight.

Louisiana Tech vs. BSU Betting Trends:

Louisiana Tech is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech’s last 6 games when playing Boise State
Louisiana Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State’s last 5 games at home

Louisiana Tech vs Boise State prediction: Boise State 58, Louisiana Tech 14

Money Line: OFF
Spread: Boise State -37.5
Over/Under: OVER 64.5

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