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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Ole Miss Rebels CFB Preview & Free Pick

Texas A+M vs Ole Miss Odds & Prediction

Ole Miss (3-2) has only lost to ranked teams this season, but their wins have not come against any good teams. Texas A&M (3-1) lost their first game of the season to a ranked Florida team and since then they have won 3 straight including laying a beat down on Arkansas.

Venue/ Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, OXFORD, MS
Time/Date: 7 PM EST Saturday, October 6, 2012
NCAAF Odds From: Justbet
Moneyline: Texas A&M -425 / Ole Miss +335
Spread: Texas A&M -12.5
Over/Under:  64.5

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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Ole Miss Rebels Preview

NCAAF lines have Texas A&M as big 12.5-point away favorites with a total of 64.5.

In their last games Texas A&M crushed Arkansas 58-10 while Ole Miss lost to top-ranked Alabama 33-14.

On the season Texas A&M is 3-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-2 and Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-3.

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Ole Miss will be dealing with a Texas A&M offense that ranks 7th in the nation in points per game, 19th in passing yards per game, and 30th in rushing yards per game. A&M QB Johnny Manziel lit up Arkansas passing for 454 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT. He has a solid and deep WR corps and he may put up good numbers again, as the Ole Miss pass defense only ranks 70th in the nation.

Manziel is a great duel threat QB, who also leads the Aggies in rushing and he and Ben Malena (204 yards 2 TD), who is averaging over 7 yards per carry, have combined for over 500 rushing yards on the season. Ole Miss has a good run defense ranked 41st in the nation, but their pass D may be more important in this SEC game.

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While Ole Miss has a decent passing offense they are led by their rushing offense that ranks 23rd in the nation. Jeff Scott and QB Randall Mackey have combined for over 500 rushing yards and when Mackey is in you can be sure the Rebels will run the ball since he only has 5 pass attempts this season.

Bo Wallace is the QB that will air it out and while he has 840 passing yards with 7 TD he has 5 picks in his last 3 games. Donte Moncrief is his main target, but he has not been a big part of the offense in the last couple of games.

Texas AM ranks 21st in the nation in run defense and 67th against run, which is why the Rebels may have a good chance to win if they can move the chains on the ground.

In some betting trends for this SEC match up Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.

Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Jason’s Pick: I think Texas A&M will light up the scoreboard and since Ole Miss does not have a dynamic offense I am going with the Aggies to win and cover.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.


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