NCAA Football Odds – Houston Cougars vs SMU Mustangs Free Pick & Preview
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Houston vs Southern Methodist Matchup Report
Saturday October 23 – 3:30PM
Gerald J. Ford Stadium – Dallas, Texas
Houston (3-3) vs SMU (4-3)
Moneyline: SMU-300, Houston +250
Spread Favourite: SMU -7.5
Over/Under: 62.5
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!
Houston
It is an understatement to say that this year hasn’t gone according to plan for the Cougars and that was before last week’s unexpected loss at Rice. That loss prevented this week’s matchup with SMU being for the position of top dog in the Conference USA West Division. Now they enter the contest a game back of SMU and another loss will likely kill any hope of a C-USA Championship.
Even down to their third string QB the Cougars can still put points on the board. RB Bryce Beall is the best in the conference and finally up to speed after starting the season dinged up. Meanwhile, QB Dave Piland, a freshman, is averaging close to 300 yards per game through the air. The attack lacks the efficiency provided by injured QB Case Keenum but all the weapons are in place making Houston a very dangerous team, still.
Houston has won the last four in the series all as heavy favourites. That isn’t the case this year as SMU is a formidable opponent with its complete compliment of players. SMU has won only two of their last ten against Houston so you can bet they will be looking for some revenge against their in state conference rival. This year they should be able to get it. 
SMU
The Mustangs may be perfect so far in Conference USA but they let a golden opportunity slip away last week against Navy. They were up by two touchdowns at the half but Navy kept after them eventually winning by a TD. Penalties and turnovers really hurt the Stangs while Navy didn’t beat itself. Out of conference this year has been a disappointment. They are 1-3 but have been in the game in all three losses.
One of the problems the Stangs have been having all season is getting into the end zone. They have one of the best aerial attacks in the nation led by Kyle Padron and rank 47th with over 400 yards of offense per game. But all that offense is only equaling 28ppg, good for just 60th in the country. When they are playing against quality teams they need to convert in the scoring zone. Their inefficiency is the sign of a maturing but not quite there team and it is on Padron to continue to improve.
When Houston and SMU get together there are usually lots of points on the board. The 62.5 O/U line is the lowest in four years and the Over has cashed in three of the last five seasons. With all of Houston’s injuries this seems like SMU’s year to capitalize but they are going to have to beat them on the field to do so. If they do they will have a commanding lead in the division can probably start thinking about the conference championship game.
The Pick: Houston is going through some hard times and going on the road to visit a rival is not the best opportunity to bust reverse their poor play. A very competitive game will end with the Mustangs on top.
College Football Gambling Trends
Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 12-2 in Cougars last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
Score Prediction: SMU 45 – Houston 34
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