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OU Sooners vs. OSU Cowboys Week 13 Free Pick

On Saturday NOVEMBER 27, 2010 its the OU Sooners vs. OSU Cowboys. Odds have the Cowboys listed as 2.5-point favorites. The game’s total is posted at 66.5. Here then is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

Oklahoma Sooners vs Oklahoma St. Cowboys Gambling Preview + Predictions

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Sooners vs. Cowboys CFB Lines

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Date/Time: Saturday, November 27, 8 PM ET
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium Stillwater OK
Broadcast: ABC / ESPN3
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Betting Lines from Justbet.com
Money Line: Oklahoma (+120) Oklahoma State (-140)
Spread: Oklahoma State -2.5
Over/Under: 66.5
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No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 9 Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview

This game is it baby, as the winner between Oklahoma (9-2) against Oklahoma State (10-1) will win the Big 12 South and represent the division in the conference title game and have a shot at a BCS bowl game. College football lines have Oklahoma State as 2.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 66.5.

In their last games Oklahoma routed Baylor 53-24 while Oklahoma State had no problem beating Kansas 48-14.

OSU has never played in a BCS bowl game and they were close last season before losing 27-0 to Oklahoma. However, this may be their best chance, as they have one of the best offenses in the nation with the country’s 3rd highest scoring team. Oklahoma has played great since losing their 2nd game of the season a couple of weeks back and they have a ton of confidence coming into this huge rivalry game.

Neither team has a good defense, but each has a great passing offense. That does not bode well for the Cowboys who only have the nation’s 108th ranked pass defense.

OSU has made people betting on them happy on this season going 9-2 ATS and Oklahoma has been decent going 6-5 ATS. The Cowboys have covered the spread in their last 4 games, but the Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against OSU.

The Cowboys have not had much success against the Sooners in recent years, as they have not beaten them since way back in 2002.

Oklahoma State has a dynamic offense ranking 2nd in the nation in passing yards per game and 29th in rushing yards per game. They are led by QB Brandon Weeden, who ranks 2nd in the nation in passing yards per game and in the win over Kansas last week he passed for 389 yards with 3 TD and 0 INT. His main target is the WR with the most receiving yards per game in the nation in Justin Blackmon. Last week he had 130 receiving yards and in every game this season he has over 100 receiving yards. OU only gave up 124 yards through the air last week against Baylor, but their passing D only ranks 58th in the nation. OSU’s offensive line has only given up 10 sacks on the season, but if the Sooners can pressure Weeden it will really help their secondary out.

Cowboys’ RB Kendall Hunter is the leading rusher in the Big 12 and he has rushed for over 100 yards in every game, but 2 this season. That streak will likely continue this Saturday since the Sooners’ run defense ranks 64th in the nation and last week against Baylor they gave up 237 rushing yards.

I already mentioned the weak pass D of the Cowboys and they may be in for a long game facing Oklahoma QB Landry Jones, who passed for 325 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT in the win over Baylor last week. WR Ryan Broyles is his main target and has over 1,300 receiving yards on the season.

One big key for the Sooners pulling off the upset is the play of RB DeMarco Murray (937 yards 14 TD). OSU has the nation’s 44th ranked rushing defense and last season Murray had a big game against the Cowboys. If the Sooners can run the ball well they will be in good shape, as the only loss for OSU was to Nebraska because they could not stop the run.

Oklahoma State has 10 wins for the first time in their history they have high hopes heading into this game, but those will be dashed by the Sooners for the 2nd year in a row. Murray and Jones will have big games and while the Cowboys will play well they will not light up the scoreboard like they are used to doing while Oklahoma will. OU will win this game and in the process win the Big 12 South.

Betting Trends

Oklahoma is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and OSU is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.

Pick: Oklahoma +2.5

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Jason Green is a new contributor to Cappers Picks and is hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of  Cubs fans.

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