Thanksgiving Day Texas A+M Aggies vs Texas Longhorns Gambling Preview + Predictions
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No. 17 Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns CFB Lines
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Date/Time: Thursday, November 25, 8 PM ET
Venue: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin TX
Broadcast: ESPN/ESPN3
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Lines from JustBet.com
Money Line: Texas (+160) Texas A&M (-180)
Spread: Texas A&M -3 ½
Over/Under: 47 ½
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No. 17 Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns Preview
On Thanksgiving in a Big 12 match up Texas (5-6) plays host to 17th ranked Texas A&M (8-3). College football lines have Texas A&M as 3.5-point favorites in this game with a total of 47.5.
In their last games Texas A&M beat Nebraska 9-6 in a barnburner and Texas got back in the W column with an easy 51-17 win over Florida Atlantic.
This has not been a good season for Texas to say the least and after snapping their 4-game losing streak last week they have to beat Texas A&M in their season finale just to be bowl eligible.
This is the first game between these 2 teams since 1998 that Texas was not ranked and the Longhorns beat the Aggies last season 49-39 and then played in the BCS title game. If the Longhorns lose this game it will be their first 5-game Big 12 losing streak for the first time ever and they will not play in a bowl for the first time since 1997.
The Aggies have had a great season and will play in a good bowl, but if they lose it will hurt their post-season positioning. A&M is 2-2 this season against ranked teams, but they have won their last 2 including beating Nebraska last week.
Heading into this Big 12 match up Texas A&M is 7-4 ATS while Texas has not been a good betting team at all going 3-8 ATS on the season. While the Aggies have covered the spread 4 times in their last 5 games against the Longhorns the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between the 2 teams and the home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 games.
Texas A&M and their 11th ranked passing offense is led by QB Ryan Tannehill, who passed for 172 yards with 0 TD and 0 INT against Nebraska last week. The Huskers have a great pass defense and the Longhorns do as well ranking 11th in the nation so the Aggies’ QB will have his work cut out for him.
Tannehill has been getting a lot of help lately from the rushing offense and especially RB Cyrus Gray, who had 137 rushing yards last week, which was the 5th straight game he has rushed for over 100 yards. Texas has a decent run defense ranking 31st in the nation.
While Texas has a good defense and a pretty good offense they have been killed by turnovers this season. Longhorns’ QB Garrett Gilbert played well last week against Florida Atlantic passing for 263 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT. However, he only has 9 TD’s this season and 15 INT’s. He may have a big game this Turkey Day, as the A&M pass defense only ranks 97th in the nation. Gilbert cannot turn the ball over and if he can keep from throwing the ball to guys with a Texas A&M uniform Texas has a legit chance to win.
Where Texas A&M is strong on defense is against the run ranking 15th in the nation. Last week in the HUGE win over Nebraska the Aggies held the awesome rushing offense of Nebraska to only 142 yards on the ground and they forced 2 turnovers. The Longhorns do not have a great rushing offense, but if they can pick up some yards it will take a lot of pressure off Gilbert.
There is a 40% chance of rain in this game and if the rain does come down the team that run the ball has the advantage.
Texas has had a season that they would like to forget, but I think their pride will vault them to a home win, as Texas not making a bowl is just not going to happen, Gilbert will put up solid numbers and the Texas D will play well, as they will win this game in a minor upset.
Betting Trends
Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Texas is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Big 12 games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, and has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
Pick: Texas +3.5
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