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UTEP vs. Arkansas Free Week 11 Preview & Pick (Nov. 13)

On November 13th its the UTEP Miners vs Arkansas Razorbacks. Odds have the Razorbacks listed as 28½-point favorites. The game’s total is set at 60, here is a preview, free pick plus the college football betting angle.

NCAA Football Odds – UTEP Miners vs Arkansas Razorbacks Free Pick & Preview

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Texas-El Paso Miners vs Arkansas Razorbacks
GO INSIDE THIS MATCHUP WITH OUR ATS STATS —>
Saturday November 13 – 7:00PM
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium – Fayetteville, Arkansas
UTEP (6-4) vs Arkansas (7-2)
Moneyline: Arkansas -6000, UTEP +2750
Spread Favourite: Arkansas -28.5
Over/Under: 60
(Odds courtesy of BetUS) – BET NOW!!!

UTEP

The Miners had a real nice win over SMU last week.  Somehow they were able to come up with the double digit victory despite being outstatted in the contest and the Miners have now reached the magical 6 win mark that makes them eligible for bowl consideration.  It is a good thing too as their final two opponents present difficult opportunities for another upset victory.

In the Miners upset of the Mustangs last week UTEP got a sharp game from much maligned QB Trevor Vittatoe.  He didn’t light up scoreboard but finished with 3TDs and no interceptions.  He seemed to let the game come to him instead of forcing it, which is easier to do when you are playing with a lead the whole game.  It also hepled that UTEP was committed to the run last week.  They may not have had great numbers but an amazing 6 players reached double figure yardage led by Donald Buckram.

These schools have just one prior meeting back in 1989.  It should come as no surprise that that game was an easy win for the Razorback 39-7.  From the spread the oddsmakers are not expecting this game to be much closer than that.  Honestly it is hard to argue otherwise given what we have seen from these teams so far.

Arkansas

The Razorbacks are enjoying a good but not great season.  Their only losses to date are to Alabama and Auburn, two of the better teams in the nation, and they have victories over South Carolina and Georgia among others.  Unfortunately there appeared to be some lingering malaise after that Bama loss.  They had the defending national champs in their crosshairs but let the game slip away, a trait of Arkansas teams of the past.

What’s new with Arkansas, at least since Bobby Petrino and Ryan Mallett hooked, up is one the of best passing offenses in the country.  Even though Mallet has missed some time he should still crack 3000 yards this season and still might be the #1 draft pick in the nation in the spring.  Last week he carved up the South Carolina defense even though his top receiver Greg Childs was out due to injury.  This offense, especially with the development of RB Knile Davis can be scary.

For the most part the Razorbacks have lived up to expectations this season.  They are 6-3 ATS this season, covering in every one of their victories but one, the opener against Tennessee Tech where they were 49.5 point favourites (they only won by 41).  The spread this week is a bit daunting but they can pull it off if their defense has another strong game.

The Pick: Arkansas will definitely win but the large spread gives me pause backing them in this spot.   I think the best bet is the over.

College Football Gambling Trends

Miners are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Miners are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Razorbacks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Razorbacks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

Score Prediction:  Arkansas 49 – 20

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