Games Coming Up – College Football Bowl Game Odds Preview
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Our man The Wiesguy has been deep in study and will provide his take and 2010 College Football Predictions all season long for the 2010/11 college football betting season.
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College Football Line Preview: Championship Week
Non BCS Bowl Line Preview
I don’t normally stump for teams at this time of year but I have to say I think that Temple not receiving a bid will be the worst thing that has ever happened to Temple football. Why? Because why would highly regarded coach Al Golden stay at a school where 8 victories leaves you out in the cold.
That said there are some intriguing bowl matchups that won’t really decide anything. Everyone is ranking the bowls right now but as “investors” we could care less about the quality of play, we want a predictable outcome where there is money to be made right?
These are the ones that I will be placing my ducats on. It can be a long month of bowl action so pace yourself accordingly.
Humanitarian Bowl
December 18
Northern Illinois vs Fresno State (+3) – The Huskies lost their conference and now their coach and will be playing a Fresno State team led by one of the feistiest coaches in the game. The Bulldogs should be feeling good after beating Illinois and won’t be pushed around by the size and experience of NIU. I thought Fresno would have been the favourite here but Northern Illinois gets the early nod. I would get on this line now. There is no way it doesn’t move in the other direction.
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Beef O’Brady’s Bowl
December 21
Southern Mississippi vs. Louisville (-3.5) – The Cardinals are a nice success story with first year coach Charlie Strong. Still I like the way Southern Miss has really come on offensively throughout the season and think they can win this one in a shootout. These teams have some history and met last year with Louisville winning at home. As long as their defense isn’t horrible Southern Miss has the firepower to get it done.
Hawaii Bowl
December 24
Tulsa vs Hawaii (-12) – A very surprising line. Sure Hawaii has one of the most explosive offenses in the nation but Tulsa isn’t far behind. The Rainbows are the stronger defensive squad but not enough to be favoured by this much in a game that will likely not have much intensity on Christmas Eve. If you are not going to play for the BCS crown or in the Rose Bowl what could be better than the holidays in Hawaii. Still grab Tulsa to keep pace with the home team, this one is already coming down.
Champs Sports Bowl
December 28
NC State vs West Virginia (-2.5) – With all due respect to UConn you can not convince me that the Mountaineers are not the best team in the Big East (for now). Every where I go I read about how the WVU defense hasn’t given up more than 21 points in a game this season. It is annoying that nobody is writing about anything else but it is impressive nonetheless. I haven’t been impressed with NC State all season long and I am not a Russell Wilson fan. Overall his numbers are just mediocre. I love WVU in this spot. Again hit it hard it is going up.
Insight Bowl
December 28
Missouri vs Iowa (+1) – I have to believe that the Hawkeyes are going to show up eventually. They are just too good and too well coached to not right? Mizzou is good too but if both these teams play their best game Iowa should win by 10 points easy. Iowa was the early short favourite at -1 but now is the slight dog. I think cooler heads will prevail so you might want to see how many points you can get with them and hammer it. Maybe even play them on the ML too for some extra payday. 
Military Bowl
December 29
East Carolina vs Maryland (-7.5) – The Terps have enjoyed a nice season, their best in a few years. Meanwhile ECU has totally transformed itself from a tough defense oriented squad into a high flying aerial show. The weather could be a factor but unless it is impossible to throw the Pirates should be able to wing it enough to keep it close and possibly even pull the upset. This is one of the few lines that has held steady since it release that half point make it all ECU for me.
Alamo Bowl
December 29
Oklahoma State vs Arizona (+6.5) – When the Wildcats beat Iowa they were supposed to be taking a huge step but they have stumbled down the stretch. On the other side the Cowboys were supposed to be terrible this year but with a high powered offense have been one of the surprise teams (9-3 ATS) of the season. They have one of the most exciting offenses in the nation so Arizona is not going to be afforded much breathing room. OSU plays at a fast pace similar to Oregon and I expect the game to go similar to Arizona’s loss to the Ducks a few weeks back. A lot of promise but ultimately no cigar.
Gator Bowl
January 1
Michigan vs Mississippi State (+6) – An SEC vs Big Ten matchup is always interesting. Mississippi State is an underrated team that has held their own against top competition all season while Michigan has shown flashes at times of being a team on the rise. The X factor here is Wolverines QB Denard Robinson. I think a month off to heal will mean he can finish what he starts and make Big Blue a decent upset candidate. Even if they fall short I think he can keep them in the game against an MSU squad that is not explosive offensively.
Cotton Bowl
January 7
LSU vs Texas A&M (+1) – The Aggies are one of the more interesting stories this year. They are enjoying a nice renaissance after benching their starting QB. Still I think LSU is the play here. When they faced a top D against Nebraska they really struggled even though they grabbed the victory. LSU has a similarly good defense and enough athletes and playmakers all over the field to win. They are a good play with the short spread even though it could be a pro A&M crowd at the Cotton Bowl.
BBVA Compass Bowl
January 8
Pittsburgh vs Kentucky (+2.5) – Yes it is true that the SEC is a tough conference and that any team that can run that gauntlet deserves post-season consideration. The Wildcats did upset South Carolina and had a close call against Auburn but double digit losses to Florida and Georgia indicate this team is hardly elite. Pittsburgh just lost their leader so it will interesting to see how they prepare and perform. Considering it is a good gig I think there is a good chance they make a smart hire that provides momentum. Either way they have more talent than UK.
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