Bulldogs vs Tigers NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping
For the second week in a row the Mississippi State Bulldogs showed they are not quite among the elite in the SEC. This time at home to Texas A&M they were stormed out of the gate by the Aggies.
#21 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-2) vs #7 LSU Tigers (7-2)
Saturday November 10
Tiger Stadium – Baton Rouge, LA
7:00PM
Moneyline: LSU -550, Mississippi State +425 from JustBet
Spread: LSU -14
O/U: 44.5
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Mississippi State
The game was over by halftime and the final margin of 25 points could have been a lot worse. Things get no easier this week with a trip to wounded LSU. By the way the Bulldogs haven’t won in Baton Rouge in 1991.
After two straight blowout losses the Bulldogs have to be searching for answers. The defense, which was supposed to be the stronger unit on the team has been shelled two weeks in a row, while the offense has scored just 20 points.
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Nothing is really working and it is hard to see how things are going to change at LSU. QB Tyler Russell is big and strong, perhaps he is going to have to put himself in harm’s way to make some big plays on Saturday.
My initial reaction was that the number is a little high for this one. Both teams are reeling and LSU is hardly a dynamic offense. The series has been one sided in terms of wins and losses as well as ATS with LSU covering in seven of the last ten. MSU hasn’t scored more than 7 points in any of the last two and they are going to have to double that to be a winning option. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
LSU
The Tigers had their shot and came up just short last week against top ranked Alabama. Clearly this was an emotional game so hopefully coach Les MIles can have them ready to play when Mississippi State comes to town. The fact they are at home could be a big advantage this week. They are 5-1 in Death Valley (although just 3-3 ATS). LSU still has an outside shot at a BCS bowl bid if they finish strong.
In essentially three weeks freshman running back Jeremy Hill has jumped to become the top rusher for LSU. It wasn’t easy last week but he ripped off 107 yards against Alabama, he should find it much easier to rumble against the Bulldogs 73 ranked rushing defense. QB Zach Mettenburger might have had his best game of the season against the Tide but it just wasn’t enough. He can’t regress against a very good passing defense.
LSU makes me nervous when they are laying so many points. They have not been a good bet all season long – just 4-5 ATS. I also worry about their emotional state, if they get down will they fight back and if they are up will they throw the hammer down. I think you have to stay away from this one on Saturday. Their season might have ended last week so anything can happen
Spread Pick: Mississippi State +14
O/U Pick: Under
Score Prediction: LSU 24 – Mississippi State 17
