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Connecticut vs. Vanderbilt Week 2 Gambling Preview & Pick

On Saturday September 10th, 2011 its the Week 2 Connecticut Huskies vs. Vanderbilt Commodores matchup. Odds currently have the Commodores listed as 2-point favorites, the game’s total has been posted at 44. Here is a betting preview and matchup handicapping tips…

Big East Football Previews- UConn vs Vanderbilt

The Connecticut Huskies and the Vanderbilt Commodores square off this Saturday night in a non-conference matchup between the Big East and the SEC. Game time is set for 7:30 p.m. and it will be available on ESPN3.com.

Date/Time: Saturday, Sept.10   7:30 p.m. (ET)
Venue: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, TN.
Broadcast: ESPN3.com
Huskies @ Commodores lines by BetOnline.com
Point spread: Commodores -2
Over/Under: 44

Click here for the ATS Gambling Report for this game!

Connecticut won the Big East last season, but after a mass exodus of the talent responsible for its 8-5 record, this year’s team was projected to finish near the bottom of the pack in the nine team conference.

The Huskies opened the season with a 35-3 win over D-IAA Fordham, but failed to cover as a 39-point home favorite. The total stayed ‘under’ the 56-point line. They built a 21-point lead at the half and cruised to an easy win. Running back Lyle McCombs had a big day with 141 yards rushing on 24 carries and four touchdowns. With a less than stellar passing game, look for McCombs to be the go-to guy against the Commodores.

Vanderbilt is coming off a dismal 2-10 campaign in 2010 and has now won just four games in the last two seasons. It started this season on a positive note with a 45-14 win over D-IAA Elon as a 15-point home favorite. The total went ‘over’ the 51-point line. This game was actually tied 7-7 midway through the second quarter before the Commodores put things away for good. [soliloquy id=”82219″]

Quarterback Larry Smith completed less than 50 percent of his passes for just 125 yards, but threw two touchdowns and ran for a third to pace the win. Vanderbilt only managed 309 yards of total offense and lost the time of possession battle by 11 minutes, but was able to convert three turnovers into 21 points.

Connecticut is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven games and the total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its last eight games. Vanderbilt is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games and the total has gone ‘over’ in four of its last six games.

These two teams met last year with the Huskies rolling to a 40-21 victory as an 8.5-point home favorite. The total went way ‘over’ the 45.5-point line. This time around things should be much tighter, so stick with the Commodores to win and cover as the worst of the SEC is better than the worst of the Big East.

Betting Trends:

Under is 6-2 in CONN last 8 road games.
CONN are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
CONN are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games on grass.
VAN are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Under is 19-8-1 in VAN last 28 home games.
Under is 33-15-1 in VAN last 49 games overall.

The Pick: Vanderbilt 20   Connecticut 17

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.