Oklahoma St. vs Missouri Free Prediction
OSU (6-0) has been rolling this season and their offense is dynamic to say the least ranking 2nd in the nation in passing yards per game and they are the 2nd highest scoring team in the nation.
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Venue/ Stadium: Faurot Field, COLUMBIA, MO
Time/Date: 12 PM EST Saturday, October 22, 2011
NCAA Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: OSU -265 / Mizzou +225
Spread (ATS): OSU -6.5
No. 4 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Missouri Tigers Preview
Mizzou (3-3) is only .500 on the season, but all 3 of their losses were on the road and came against teams that are currently ranked in the top 25. NCAAF lines have OSU as 6.5-point away favorites in this game with a total of 69.5.
Last week Mizzou was solid on both sides of the ball beating Iowa State 52-17 and OSU beat Texas 38-26.
Mizzou has won 10 straight home games, but they have lost their last 2 games at home against Oklahoma State.
Can Mizzou and their 25th ranked defense stop the awesome OSU offense? That is the big question in this game. The Cowboys not only have a great QB in Brandon Weeden and a stellar WR corps, including possibly the nation’s best receiver in Justin Blackmon, but they can also run the ball. However, the rushing offense has not played great in the last 3 weeks and after rushing for over 100 yards in his first 3 games RB Joseph Randle has not broke the 100-yard barrier in the last 3 games.
Weeden did not have a great game in the win over Texas passing for a season low 218 yards, but the Tigers and their 65th ranked pass defense will still have their hands full. Mizzou has 13 sacks on the season and they must pressure Weeden in the pocket and not give him time to find his targets. That will be harder to do this Saturday since the DL duo of Terrell Resonno and Brayden Burnett are out due to injuries.
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The Oklahoma State defense, which only ranks 100th in the nation, has one goal in this game and that is to contain Missouri QB James Franklin. Last week in the rout over Iowa State he passed for 289 yards with 3 TD and 2 INT and also rushed for 84 yards and 2 TD.
The OSU defense has had their issues this season, but they have 17 forced turnovers and if Mizzou turns the ball over multiple times they will lose this game.
The Cowboys also have to worry about Tigers’ RB Henry Josey, who is averaging just under 10 yards per carry this season and has rushed for 717 yards with 6 TD.
This season OSU is 5-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-2-1 and Mizzou is 4-2 ATS and has an Over/Under record of 4-2.
OSU is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Big 12 games, and has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Mizzou is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Jason’s Pick: Mizzou is a legit team, but do not think they can keep up with Weeden and company with the great offense they have. Take the Cowboys to win and cover the 6.5-point spread and take the Over as well with how each team can light up the scoreboard.
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