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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ohio Bobcats CFB Preview & Free Pick

Bowling Green vs Ohio Odds & Prediction

Both Ohio (8-1) and Bowling Green (6-3) are at 4-1 in the MAC East standings and each trails Kent State, who each has to play to end the season.

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Venue/ Stadium: Peden Stadium, ATHENS, OH
Time/Date: 8 PM EST Wednesday, November 7, 2012
NFL Odds From: BetOnline
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Ohio -3
Over/Under:  48.5

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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Ohio Bobcats Preview

This game is pretty basic for both, as the winner has a great chance to play in the conference championship, but they still likely have to beat Kent State. NCAAF lines have Ohio as a 3-point home favorite with a total of 48.5.

In their last games Ohio beat Eastern Michigan 45-14 and Bowling Green also beat Eastern Michigan 24-3. The Falcons had a bye last week, so they should be well rested for this game.

On the season Bowling Green is 6-3 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 0-8 and Ohio is 4-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-4.

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Ohio has a solid offense led by QB Tyler Tettleton, who passed for 255 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT in the win over E. Michigan. Bowling Green and their 16th ranked pass defense has one goal in this game and that is to keep tables on Bobcats’ leading WR Donte Foster (38 rec 487 yards 7 TD), as he is, by far, the big gun in the passing attack and in the Bobcats last game he had 164 receiving yards with 2 TD.

Beau Blankenship leads the Bobcats rushing offense and he has over 1,000 rushing yards on the season and has rushed for over 100 yards in 6 games this season. However, he has not cracked the 100+ yard barrier in 3 of his last 4 games and he will be facing a Bowling Green rushing defense that ranks 13th in the nation.

Bowling Green wins with their defense, which ranks 9th in the nation, and you can see this season all of their games this season have gone Under the posted betting total.

Matt Schilz is a decent QB and he has a good WR corps and while the strength of the Falcons is their rushing offense they may want to air it out in this game since the Ohio pass defense only ranks 84th in the nation.

Ohio has a good rushing defense and BG leading rusher Anthon Samuel is questionable for this game with a neck injury. If he cannot go John Pettigrew, who rushed for 136 yards in the Falcons last game, will get the start.

In some betting trends for this MAC match up Bowling Green is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 road games, and they have an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 road games.

Ohio is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Jason’s Pick: Bowling Green has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games against the Bobcats in Ohio and that trend will continue. Going with the team with the better defense in this game, as Bowling Green will win on the road in a minor upset.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.


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