Wildcats vs Ducks NCAA Football Spread/Handicapping
The Oregon Ducks and the Arizona Wildcats both enter their week four matchup 3-0, and they each enter as one of the top offensive teams in the entire country. The third-ranked Ducks and the No. 22 Wildcats are averaging a combined 100.3 points and 1201 yards per game. If you like offense, tune into Autzen Stadium Saturday night.
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No. 22 Arizona Wildcats (3-0) vs No. 3 Oregon Ducks (3-0)
Saturday September 12, 2012
Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
10:30 PM ET
Moneyline: Oregon -2400, Arizona +1400 from GTBets.eu
Spread: Oregon -23
The Arizona Wildcats already have one upset-victory this season against a high-powered offense. They took down the then-ranked No. 18 Oklahoma State Cowboys in week two, who is averaging the most points per game in all of college football.
Arizona’s season has been a resounding success thus far, as new head coach Rich Rodriguez has them vying for their fourth victory of the year this weekend—a mark that took them all 12 games to reach in 2011.
On paper, the Oregon Ducks aren’t too unlike the Cowboys. Both have great running attacks, both are a top-5 offense and both give up a similar number of points per game. The difference? We’ve yet to truly see what the Ducks have to offer.
Arizona can watch as much game tape as they’d like, but all they’re likely to see is short drop-off passes in the flat and running backs sprinting past slower defenses for highlight touchdowns. If Oregon opens up the playbook on Saturday, the Wildcats better be ready.
The defense has been solid for Arizona, but they’ve yet to venture away from the confines of Arizona Stadium. Traveling to Autzen will be tough, as it is hands-down one of the loudest and rowdiest places for opponents to play in all of college football.
Like the Wildcats, Oregon runs an up-tempo, no-huddle offense. Averaging the fourth-most rushing yards in the nation, the two-headed attack of Kenjon Barner and De’Anthony Thomas has helped this team dominate the competition thus far.
Barner has been a workhorse for the Ducks, having carried the ball 56 times for six touchdowns without playing much in the second halves of games. Thomas has touched the ball far fewer times, but his touchdowns are stacking up at an astronomical rate, as he’s compiled seven scores on just 24 touches in the rushing and receiving games.
The Ducks are averaging 54 points per contest, and while their 329 yards per game on the ground is what they’re known for, they’ve also established a respectable 267.3 yards per game through the air.
Redshirt freshman quarterback Marcus Mariota has been as sharp as fans hoped he’d be. He’s completed 75.3 percent of his passes, and he’s thrown eight touchdowns to just one interception. The man behind center has looked great so far, but Arizona will be his first true opponent. The Wildcats have allowed just 18.3 points per game this season, and if the Ducks aren’t ready, we could see ball-control issues early and throughout the contest.
If one thing is clear about this week’s matchup, it’s that offense will be the name of the game. Each team has a solid defense—with the edge likely going to Oregon—but this game is going to be played fast and furious the whole way through.
Arizona hasn’t won at Autzen stadium since 2006, and don’t expect that to change this time around. A lot of points will be scored, and ESPN will have quite a game to feature on their network, but when it’s all said and done, the Ducks should show why they’re the No. 3 team in the nation.
- Over is 7-1 in Ducks last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Ducks last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
O/U Pick: Over 77.5
Score Prediction: Oregon 48 – Arizona 31