Bearcats vs Cardinals CBB Basketball Spread/Handicapping
The Bearcats have not been playing well of late, squandering some of the early season goodwill they were generating. They won their last game against Connecticut and a win against Louisville would definitely prove they are worthy of an invitation to the Big Dance.
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Cincinnati Bearcats (20-9) vs #10 Louisville Cardinals (24-5)
Monday March 4
KFC Yum Center – Louisville, KY
Moneyline: No ML currently listed at GTBets.eu
Spread: Louisville -10
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Otherwise they are looking at a .500 conference season, which even in the Big East might mean they need to win a game or two in the conference tourney to extend their season the way they would like.
Coming to Louisville and winning would be a strong statement, albeit unlikely one the way these guys are playing right now. What could turn the tide is that the Bearcats are really strong on the perimeter.
Sean Kilpatrick is as good a scorer as any guard in the conference, capable of shooting his team into and out of any game.
With Cashmere right and Jaquon Parker the backcourt averages more than 40 points per game and have to be accounted for.
Cincinnati has been an ATS killer the last little while, going 3-7. The one fortunate thing is that they have been way worse at home than on the road where they are decent 4-4 ATS.
I like them a little bit here but that is mostly because I don’t like the Louisville offense all that much and this is a pretty good sized number.
The Cardinals took some revenge over the weekend at Syracuse. They dumped the Orange while also putting themselves in a position where they could take the regular season title if they win and Georgetown stumbles down the stretch.
This is the easier of their final two contests as they close with a rematch against Notre Dame – a game they lost in a million overtimes on the road last month.
Beating Syracuse was all about defense as neither team broke 60 points. Georgui Dieng continues to be a force as he chipped in a solid 14 points and 11 rebound performance and reserve forward Luke Hancock showed his worth as a shooter.
This team can run hot and cold from the perimeter so having another threat out there is a welcome addition and will improve their chances of following through on their preseason promise.
Louisville has not been a good team to side with at home either – just 5-9 ATS. The last time they covered a number at the YUM center was a similar (-10.5) against Marquette, a better team than Cincinnati to me. I think all of the value is on the visitors for this one.
I wouldn’t go with a straight fade on Louisville but as you build your bankroll for the Tournament look elsewhere.
Spread Pick: Cincinnati
O/U Pick: Over
Score Prediction: Louisville 67 – Cincinnati 62