L.A. Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Preview & Pick
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NBA Betting – Clippers vs. Mavs Matchup
Date: Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Broadcast: FSPT, FSSW
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Betting Lines from Betus.com
Money Line: OFF
Spread: Dallas -5.5
Over/Under: 195.5
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Los Angeles Clippers (17-26)
The Los Angeles Clippers hype train is in full flight; the Clips have managed to block out vile owner Donald Sterling’s taunts and win seven of their last nine games, beating the spread six times over that span.
The big reason for their success is, of course, Blake Griffin, who is having the greatest impact as a rookie since…Shaq? Seriously, Griffin’s numbers are better than Lebron James’ 2003-04 numbers at the moment. Griffin is averaging 22.8 points and 12.9 rebounds per game; he has 29 double-doubles in his last 30 games; he’s averaging 27.2 points and 14.5 boards in January.
Griffin is also getting great help from the underrated Eric Gordon, who is quietly eighth in the league with 24.1 points per game – outscoring Dirk Nowitzki, Carmelo Anthony and Dwight Howard. Gordon is battling through some bumps and bruises, however; he injured a finger tendon last week and now has a wrist injury to boot. 
Dallas Mavericks (28-15)
Are the Dallas Mavericks finally ready to stop the bleeding? They snapped their six-game losing streak with a home victory over the Los Angeles Lakers last week. They followed that up with a forgivable loss at Chicago and a grinder road win over New Jersey. Now, they get to enjoy a four-game homestand.
Whether they’re ready to string some wins together could depend on Dirk Nowitzki’s health. He’s “back” from his knee injury but doesn’t seem to be at full speed yet; in five games since returning, he’s averaging 19 points and has shot 37.5 per cent or worse four times.
The pick:
We have to be careful not get too carried away with the Clippers on Tuesday. Yes, they’re maturing into a legitimate threat – but they’re still not the same team away from Staples Center. L.A. is just 3-13 on the road this season; during its 7-2 run, all seven wins came at home and both defeats came on the road.
The Mavs are 15-8 at home this season – but just 9-12-2 ATS at home. Assuming the spread is at least four points, the right move may be to pick Dallas straight up but go with the Clippers ATS. I don’t think many if any teams will blow out the Clippers any time soon but L.A. also hasn’t proven itself to be a road warrior yet.
Betting Trends:
DAL are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
DAL are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.
Under is 6-2 in DAL last 8 Tue. games.
Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.
Clippers vs Mavericks prediction: Mavericks 103, Clippers 100
Money Line: Mavericks
Spread: Clippers
Over/Under: OFF
