NBA Betting – Jazz vs. Nuggets (Apr. 2)

April 2, 2009 by Ray M.

Home Cookin – Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets

Nuggets To Narrowly Cover Against ATS Struggling Jazz Tonight – Utah at Denver

The Utah Jazz (46-28 SU, 37-37 ATS, 36-37 O/U) had their two-game winning streak snapped in its 125-104 rout at the hands of the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday night.

Utah failed to cover the spread as a 6-point road underdog while the 229 combined points played well over the 194-point O/U total.

Veteran forward Carlos Boozer scored a team-high 20 points in the loss.

The Denver Nuggets (49-26 SU, 40-34-1 ATS, 38-37 O/U) beat the New York Knicks 111-104 on Tuesday to stretch their SU winning streak to four games but failed to cover the spread 12-point home favorites just as I predicted that day.

High-scoring forward Carmelo Anthony scored a team-high 29 points while the final score played under the 221-point Over/Under total.

Here is a look at tonight’s key NBA trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NBA Free Picks.

Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah’s last 5 games when playing Denver
Utah is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

NBA Odds

Utah Jazz +5 -110
Denver Nuggets -5 -110

Over 208 -110
Under 208 -110

Analysis: The Denver Nuggets have covered the spread in three straight against the Jazz while the Under has played out in four straight matchups between these ballclubs.

I like the Nuggets to win this contest and narrowly cover the spread against a Jazz team that looked totally lost and uninterested against the Blazers their last time out.

Take the Nuggets to win and cover the spread narrowly.