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Free Pick: Dallas vs. Atlanta NBA Lines & Handicapping Preview

NBA:  Mavericks vs Hawks Predictions

NBA basketball betting sees the Dallas Mavericks taking on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday February 25 at Philips Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all season long.

Atlanta needs to string together some wins to prove they are among the elite in the East. A win against Dallas would help with that statement.

Dallas Mavericks (39-20) vs. Atlanta Hawks (44-12)
Wednesday February 25
7:30PM
Philips Arena – Atlanta, GA
SPSO
NBA Betting Line:  Atlanta -6.5
NBA Betting Total:  203

Dallas

The Mavs got the win last night over Toronto but it was an interesting one. You know one of those go on second half run to come back with you starting PG on the bench kind of games. Either way they had to expend a fair amount of energy to dispatch the Raptors and I think that will show. They are 0-3 SU/ATS in situations where they have back to backs home to away. And none of those three were visits to the top team in the Eastern Conference. Things are not setting up well for Dallas here.

It will be interesting to see how the Mavs handle Rajon Rondo tonight. They are on a back to back and will need everyone to contribute so odds are he is back in the lineup after sitting crunch time last night. Another factor is the healthy of Tyson Chandler. Very late in the game he rolled his ankle and is questionable for tonight. Even with the addition of Amare Stoudemire the Mavs are still not very deep with bigs.

Atlanta

The Hawks are just 1-1 since the All-Star Break, bouncing back from an ugly home loss against the Raptors to beat Milwaukee on Sunday. They were not able to add to their team at the trade deadline which has many thinking this team, despite their record, is not the best team in the Eastern Conference. Their challenge is depth. Though they do get production off their bench they lack that real sixth man factor, someone who can dominate when other second units are on the floor.

The great thing about the Hawks starting lineup is that you never know who will have a big day. The last time out it was Paul Millsap but any member of their starting five can lead in scoring. Dallas prefers to have flow to their game so I like this matchup for the Hawks, who are 7th in points scored this year. Plus they get the benefit of getting Dallas after playing Toronto the night before.

NBA Betting Trends:

  • Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Hawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

NBA Betting Prediction:  Atlanta -6.5

Take the Hawks here. Two good teams but Atlanta is cooled out waiting for a Dallas team that will be pushed the night before and has to travel.

NBA Score Prediction:  Atlanta 105 – Dallas 95

There are some old legs on that Dallas team and the number is manageable.

By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.