Golden State Warriors Betting Odds – NBA Basketball Futures – Gambling Picks
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Golden State Warriors
Bodog.com Warriors Odds to win NBA title – 150/1
Key players added – Louis Amudson, David Lee, Dorell Wright, Charlie Bell
Key players lost – Corey Magette, Anthony Randolph, Ronny Turiaf
With Don Nelson gone, so is “Nellie ball”—or, at least it’s halfway out the door. Keith Smart is the new head coach, and Golden State has wasted no time adding more size to the roster.
David Lee is the most notable addition. Lee blossomed into a fan favorite in New York, where he averaged 20.3 points and 11.7 rebounds per game last season. His efforts on the glass will be especially crucial, as the Warriors finished dead last in rebounding a year ago. Lee has posted double-digit rebounds in three of his last four seasons, and anything less would be a tremendous disappointment.
Lee will be joined on the frontcourt by Dorell Wright. The former Heat swingman and 2004 first-round pick has yet to establish himself as an NBA starter but, at 6’9”, he’ll add more size to the floor that the Warriors so desperately seek. Golden State also added Louis Admudson, a banger who will play limited minutes but do the dirty stuff—rebound, play defense, etc.
Speaking of which, Golden State’s defense was horrific last season. The Warriors owned the second-highest scoring offense in the NBA, but it was completely neutralized by the league’s worst “D.” Wright, Admunson, Lee and newcomer Charlie Bell are expected to help improve the defense, to varying degrees, anyway. It shouldn’t be hard to improve on last year’s effort—there’s nowhere to go but up.
Despite all the changes and shift in philosophy, Golden State’s two best players are holdovers from the Nellie ball era: undersized guards Stephen Curry and Monta Ellis.
As a rookie last season, Curry quickly established himself as one of the NBA’s upcoming stars. The point guard averaged 17.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. He was a beast shooting the ball, particularly from beyond the three-point line, where he made 43.7 percent of his shots. Critics based Curry when he was drafted last year, arguing he was too small to make a significant impact in the league; he’s already surpassed many people’s expectations and has room to grow. Curry is a big part of Golden State’s future.
Ellis, on the other hand, is probably not. The speedster led the Warriors with a very impressive 25.5 points per game last year, but the shift to a bigger lineup can’t be mistaken. There isn’t room for two pint-sized guards in the backcourt, so Ellis could very well end up as trade bait to help further the roster makeover. In the meantime, he’ll add some nice electricity to the offense.
Surprising stat: Ellis was sixth in NBA scoring last year.
Strengths: Nice building blocks in Curry and Lee.
Weaknesses: The team is in transition, with an awkward mix of big and small.
Playoffs? Stranger things of happened, but Golden State will likely miss out for the 16th time in 17 years.
Win total projection for 2010-11: 25-30 wins
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