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NASCAR Sprint Cup Samsung Mobile 500 Preview and Prediction

2012 Samsung Mobile 500 Predictions – Betting Preview + Picks + Odds

The NASCAR Sprint Cup series is back in action after taking last week off with the running of the Samsung Mobile 500 at Texas Motor Speedway in Ft. Worth.  

NASCAR Sprint Cup Samsung Mobile 500 Preview and Prediction
Race: Samsung Mobile 500
Date: Saturday, April 14, 2012
Time: 7 p.m. (ET)
Broadcast: FOX

It will be the first prime time race of the season with the green flag set to wave at 7 p.m. (ET) this upcoming Saturday night.

Two weeks ago, Ryan Newman survived a wild finish at Martinsville to notch his first victory of the season with A.J. Allmendinger taking second and Dale Earnhardt Jr. finishing third for the second race in-a-row.

The following is a closer look at our favorite, contender, and longshot for this Saturday night’s race along with their current odds to win.

The Favorite (odds of less than 10/1)

Matt Kenseth is currently tied for third-place in the Sprint Cup standings with Tony Stewart with 214 points.

He followed-up his thrilling victory at Daytona with a second-place finish at Bristol and a fourth-place finish at Martinsville. Kenseth comes into this race, not only in solid form as a 7/1 favorite, but as the defending champion after racing the No.17 car to victory lane in last season’s Samsung Mobile 500.

He now has two career victories and nine other top-five finishes at Texas. His average finishing position at this track is 8.7. [ad-8757089]

The Contender (odds of 10/1 to 19/1)

The 2011 Sprint Cup season was one to forget for Denny Hamlin, but so far it appears that he may have regained the form that led to eight Sprint Cup victories in the 2010 season. He has already posted a win this year at Phoenix and added a sixth-place finish two weeks ago at Martinsville to jump to seventh in the standings with 210 points.

The No.11 car is a 12/1 favorite to win this week. Hamlin was a non-factor at Texas last year, but in 2010 he completed the season-sweep with victories in both races at this track.

His average finishing position here is 10.2 and he has a total of eight top-10 finishes in 13 career races.

The Longshot (odds of 20/1 or higher)

Clint Bowyer has quietly worked his way to ninth in this season’s point standings with three top-10 finishes in six races.

His best effort of the year was a fourth-place finish at Bristol after starting 16th.

This week he has been opened at 20/1 to take the checkered flag. While the No.15 car has never won at this track, Bowyer took second in last year’s race to post his sixth top-10 finish at Texas in his last eight races here.

His overall finishing position here is a respectable 13.0.

Odds to Win the Samsung Mobile 500

April 14, 2012

Stewart, Tony 6-1
Kenseth, Matt 7-1
Edwards, Carl 7-1
Johnson, Jimmie 7-1
Busch, Kyle 8-1
Gordon, Jeff 10-1
Biffle, Greg 10-1
Earnhardt Jr., Dale 10-1
Harvick, Kevin 12-1
Kahne, Kasey 12-1
Keselowski, Brad 12-1
Hamlin, Denny 12-1
Bowyer, Clint 20-1
Newman, Ryan 30-1
Martin, Mark 40-1
Truex Jr., Martin 40-1
Allmendinger, A.J. 50-1
Ambrose, Marcos 50-1
Burton, Jeff 60-1
McMurray, Jamie 60-1
Lagano, Joey 60-1
Montoya, Juan 60-1
Labonte, Bobby 100-1
Bayne, Trevor 100-1
Almirola, Aric 100-1
Ragan, David 100-1
Busch, Kurt 100-1
Menard, Paul 100-1
Smith, Regan 100-1
Against the Field (any other driver) 50-1

*SPRINT Cup Odds provided by Bovada

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By Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.