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Phillies vs. Cardinals Gambling Prediction / Preview (July. 19)

Dave weighs in with his MLB Free Pick for tonight. It’s the Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals matching up at Busch Stadium The Cardinals listed as 122-moneyline favorites…

Monday MLB Baseball Picks: Phillies vs Cardinals Game 1

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Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals – Monday, July 19th 7:05 P.M.
Philadelphia: 48-43 SU
St. Louis: 51-41 SU

Baseball Gambling Lines:

Line: Philadelphia +105, St. Louis – 125
Total: Over/Under 9

The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Busch Stadium in St. Louis to begin a four game series with the Cardinals starting tonight at 7:05 P.M.

If Philadelphia has any chance of repeating as National League Champions, this series against St. Louis could end up being a pivotal turning point in their season one way or the other. They come into this game having just lost three out of four to the Cubs to drop their record to 48-43, 5 ½ games behind Atlanta in the NL East.

The Phillies are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games and 21-25 SU on the road. They are 13-12 ATS as an underdog and 42-48-1 against the over/under line.

The total has stayed under in 10 of their last 15 games against the Cardinals.

Kyle Kendrick will be on the mound tonight for Philadelphia. In 17 previous starts he is 5-3 with an ERA of 4.44. In his last outing he lasted 6.2 innings giving up three hits and just one earned run. Lifetime against St. Louis Kendrick is 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA.

On a positive note, the Phillies have Placido Polanco back in their lineup after spending some time on the DL. As a team they have a .254 batting average ranking them 12th in the NL. Their 429 total runs scored rank them fifth. Ryan Howard leads the team with 73 RBI’s and 21 HR’s.

After sweeping the Dodgers three straight games over the weekend, St. Louis is back in first place in the NL Central by ½ a game over Cincinnati with an overall record of 51-41. The Cardinals are 31-15 SU at home and 43-27 ATS as the favorite. Against the over/under line they are 32-56-4.

Right hander Blake Hawksworth gets the start tonight for St. Louis. He has pitched in 26 games and has started five. With an overall record of 3-5 he has an ERA of 4.73. In his last start he gave up seven hits and two earned runs in 5.1 innings of work in a win against Houston. Against the Phillies he is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA.

St.Louis comes into this series with a .262 team batting average, ranking them sixth in the NL. Their 413 runs scored rank them eighth. Albert Pujols leads the team with 64 RBI’s and 21 HR’s and Matt Holiday leads the team with 104 hits.

Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against St. Louis and 5-1 against them on the road. With their season starting to slip away, the pressure is mounting on the Phillies to string together some wins.

Gambling Trends:

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis’s last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

Phillies +105 – Look for them to respond to the pressure by taking this series starting with a win tonight in Game 1.

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