New York vs Philadelphia MLB Betting Preview
The Phillies are in the basement in the NL East and have struggled against left-handed pitching this season, but they have Ace Roy Halladay on the mound.
Venue/ Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Time/Date: 7 PM EST Monday, May 7, 2012
NCAA Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Mets +170 / Phillies -200
Over/Under: 6.5 runs
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Preview
Still, the reigning Cy Young winner is 0-2 in his last 2 starts and he was shelled in his last outing. MLB lines have the Phillies as big home favorites tonight with a run total of 6.5 runs.
In their last games the Mets beat the Arizona Diamondbacks and while the Phillies lost to the Washington Nationals 7-1.
This season the Mets have an O/U record of 14-13 with a run-line W/L record of 12-16 and the Phillies have an O/U record of 16-13 with a run-line W/L record of 14-15.
The Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games against the Phillies.
Jonathon Niese (2-1, 4.08 ERA) takes the hill for the Mets tonight and in his last start he struggled giving up 5 earned runs in only 3 innings in a loss to the Astros. Halladay (3-2 3.40 ERA) goes for the Phillies tonight and in his last outing he gave up 8 earned runs in 5 innings getting a no decision against the Braves.
Niese has won 3 of his last 4 starts against Philadelphia with a 3.38 ERA, allowing 1 or no earned runs in each of the wins.
The Phillies have continued to rely on their starting pitching, as their offense has struggled, only ranking 17th in the Majors in runs scored, while Ryan Howard and Chase Utley are still on the DL. Still, Niese has to be careful with Carlos Ruiz, Hunter Pence, and Shane Victorino, who have combined for 16 HR this season.
The Mets are also struggling at the plate this season ranking 20th in runs scored. David Wright is hitting .375 this season and in his last 14 games in Philadelphia he is hitting over .400. Wright, Lucas Duda, and Scott Hairston are the only Mets with at least 10 RBI, but Duda and Hairston are each batting below .250.
In some betting trends for this NL East match up the Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 1-4 in Niese’s last 5 road starts, and have an Over record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 games.
The Phillies are 6-13 in their last 19 home games, 17-8 in Halladay’s last 25 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Jason’s Pick: Even though Halladay has struggled as of late and the Phillies’ offense is not getting it done I have to go with them, as Halladay will be back in form and have a stellar start.