MLB: USEFUL BETTING INFO
Sometimes in sports betting, particularly in baseball, it’s easy to get overwhelmed by the day-to-day grind and possibly overlook some obvious and powerful numbers.
For instance, with Interleague play in full swing again this week, did you know that the Minnesota Twins are 19-5 in their last 24 games versus the National League?
That would have been nice to know before their weekend series at the Cubs, right?
Well, over the next three days, they are hosting Pittsburgh.
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Here’s some more key facts for you to chew on before you hit the confirm button on the Live Odds page over the next few days.
The Florida Marlins swept Toronto on the road over the weekend and are 4-2 in interleague play in 2009. The Marlins are the top OVER team in baseball at 35-27-3 (56.5 percent) and have a number of atypical numbers that should get every sports bettor thinking.
The Fish lead Major League baseball in striking out the most and their pitchers strike out the most batters.
Florida’s home stadium is considered an almost neutral ballpark for hitters and pitchers, yet Marlins relievers have 5.78 ERA at home and 1.98 ERA on the road. The Florida bullpen has blown eight of 14 save attempts in the home white uniforms yet have converted eight of nine in traveling grays.
With so much talk in recent years about the importance of a quality bullpen, what gets lost is what solid starting staff can do for a team. The San Francisco Giants had the oldest team in baseball and knew they had to become younger and restock the farm system after years of trying to surround Barry Bonds with veteran players trying to win titles.
The strength of the team has become its young starting pitching, with the likes of Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain while the everyday lineup would become a work in progress. Nevertheless, playing in a pitcher’s park, pitching and defense have to carry the Giants for now.
San Fran is the fourth best bet in baseball at +7.1 units and 34-28 on the year. They have accomplished this despite being 28th in runs scored and on-base percentage and dead last in home runs (34).
The laid-back Lincecum (6-1, 2.66 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) has pitched about as expected and Cain, after dropping some weight, has really come into his own (9-1, 2.39, 1.26). Veterans Randy Johnson and Barry Zito have had rocky outings, but have given the team a chance to win as often as not. Only Jonathan Sanchez has been a real disappointment at 2-6. Manager Bruce Bochy has also had the luxury of trotting out the same group of five pitchers all season, a real rarity.
The San Francisco bullpen has pitched very well of late with 1.29 ERA in its last seven games, moving up to eighth overall. With the starters taking the pressure off the relievers, Bochy is able to go into late innings with set-up men and closer in place, making everyone more productive, explaining why the Giants have won 14 of last 19, despite not much run support.
The Colorado Rockies have again put together one of those out of nowhere streaks, with 11 consecutive wins and are within a game of .500 at 31-32 (+0.9). What was the cause and effect for such a drastic turnaround? The players were forced to look in the mirror after Clint Hurdle was jettisoned as manager.
“A lot of us realized that it wasn’t him that wasn’t out there executing,” pitcher Aaron Cook said. The staff ace realized he was among those who was not performing, as one of the most extreme groundball pitchers in baseball was having too many baseball get air under them and getting hit hard. In his last three starts, Cook (5-3, 4.26, 1.39) has given six total runs in 21 innings and surrendered just three walks over that period.
Collectively, the Rockies pitchers have not surrendered more than four runs in a single game during this scalding streak and the batters have started ripping the cover off the ball scoring 6.6 runs per game. Colorado has picked up a stunning +13.8 units during this stretch, giving streak-riders plenty to smile about.
Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh are next to visit this team so the Rocks are worth watching for what direction they will go once they finally suffer a loss.
Earlier, we mentioned the maturation of Matt Cain and another pitcher that has found a groove (a deep one at that) is Detroit’s Justin Verlander. Last year’s disastrous season (11-17, 4.84) had some wondering what direction the talented hard-throwing right-hander was headed.
His first four starts brought back those same questions, yielding 21 earned runs in 22 innings. However, the words of new pitching coach Rick Knapp started to sink in and on April 27 at home against the Yankees, Verlander pitched seven shutout innings, with nine K’s and no walks. Knapp slowed down Verlander’s delivery and suddenly pitches that were up in the zone, were back down, with far greater control. The confidence returned and the speed variation on the breaking pitches was being spotted again.
The 26 year-old has won his last seven decisions and the Tigers are 8-2 when #35 takes the ball since his fourth start of the year. Verlander has been so dominant in last nine starts; he has 1.10 ERA and leads the American League in hitters swing and misses with 182.
Detroit is 7-1 (+5.4 units) when Verlander starts and he is the only starting pitcher to break triple digits on the radar gun twice in 2009.
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One reply on “MLB Interleague Gambling & Handicapping Tips”
There is enough history with Interleague play to uncover some interesting trends, as shown in the ones you just mentioned.
While you still have to keep an eye to the present, trends in all sports have a way of playing an important role in predicting the outcome.