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2011 Kentucky Derby Betting Preview | Prediction

2011 Kentucky Derby Betting Preview

Ready for the 2011 Kentucky Derby from Churchill Downs in Louisville. The post positions for this Saturday’s 137th running of the Kentucky Derby have been set for the field of 20 of this year’s top three-year Thoroughbreds. Post time for Saturday’s ‘run for the roses’ is set for 6:24 p.m (ET) and the race will be broadcast nationally on NBC.

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Date: Saturday May 7th, 2011
Location: Churchill Downs, Louisville KY
Post Time: 6:24 PM (EST)
TV Network: 5-7 p.m. EDT NBC

The following is look at a couple of horses to watch along with the morning line as provide by Mike Battaglia, who has been setting the early odds for the Kentucky Derby since 1974.

The Favorites

Dialed In

Dialed In drew the No.8 post position and was opened as the odds-on-favorite on the morning line at 4-1. This horse is trained by Nick Zito and will be ridden by Julien Leparoux. He won his debut at Churchill last November as a juvenile and burst onto the scene with a victory in the grade III Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream. Dialed In vaulted to the top of the rankings with win in the grade I Florida Derby as the 3-1 second choice.

Uncle Mo

Uncle Mo drew the No.18 post position and is the second choice on the morning line at 9-2. The early Derby favorite fell off the pace with a third-place finish in the grade I Wood Memorial, but it was later found that he was suffering from an intestinal infection. Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John Velazquez, Uncle Mo was unbeaten as a juvenile in four starts including a victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last November.

The Contenders

Nehro

Nehro drew the No.19 post position and is the third choice on the morning line at 6-1. Trainer Steve Asmussen’s entry broke his maiden on his third try on February 21 at Oaklawn, but moved up in the rankings after finishing a close second in the grade II Louisiana Derby on March 26. On just three weeks rest he became a legitimate contender after taking second in the grade I Arkansas Derby. He will be ridden by Corey Nakatani.

Archarcharch

Archarcharch drew the dreaded No.1 post position and is tied with Midnight Interlude as the fourth choice on the morning line at 10-1. This horse has had an exceptional Derby prep season with victories in the grade III Southwest Stakes on February 21 and most recently a shocking win in the grade I Arkansas Derby as a 25-1 longshot on April 16. Archarcharch is longtime trainer William ‘Jinks’ Fires’ first Derby horse and he will be ridden by Jon Court.

The Longshot

Stay Thirsty

Stay Thirsty drew the No.4 post position and is one of two horses that have been opened as a moderate longshot on the morning line at 20-1. Todd Pletcher’s second entry in the Derby first gained notoriety with a second-place finish in the grade I Hopeful as a juvenile. He won the grade III Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct on March 5 in his debut as a three-year old, but fell out of favor after a disappointing seventh-place finish in the Florida Derby. He will be ridden Ramon Dominguez.

2011 Kentucky Derby Prediction

Win- Nehro
Place- Stay Thirsty
Show-Dialed In

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About Dave Schwab

David Schwab is a regular contributor to the Cappers Picks Blog. While not cheering for his beloved Philadelphia Eagles David can be found working on his blog at www.eaglesinc.com. David wants to hear from you so please comment below.


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