Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings
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Sunday September 19 – 1:00PM
Mall of America Field, Minneapolis Minnesota
Miami (1-0) vs Minnesota (0-1)
Moneyline: Minnesota -245, Miami +205
Spread Favourite: Minnesota -5.5 (-110)
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)
The Miami Dolphins are in the great in between in the NFL. Good enough to beat bad teams like Buffalo but a notch below division contenders like New York and New England. It is a good thing they got that first win out of the way last week because with their schedule they might be hard to come by this season. After visiting the Vikings they have home dates against the Jets and Pats. Looking at their schedule they may not be favoured in a game until November 18 when the Chicago Bears come to town. Without an upset or two their season could be over by that point.
Their best chance at that upset is probably this week against Minnesota. It was clear last Thursday that the Vikes are still trying to figure some things out while the Dolphins know exactly what kind of team they are. Not surprising given Bill Parcells influence they want to rely on the running game to chew clock and shorten the game. They added Brandon Marshall at WR but as good as he is he is not a real gamebreaker, just a reliable set of hands for improving QB Chad Henne. The key is not to make any mistakes.
That is because the Dolphins defense isn’t all that great. Last year they gave up 25 ppg which won’t cut it with their offense. Their numbers against Buffalo were impressive but lets face it, Buffalo is no offensive juggernaut. The Dolphins just don’t have any standout players on the defensive side of the ball. The signing of Karlos Dansby from Arizona was an upgrade but he had only 1 pick and 1 sack last year. Those are the impact plays this defense needs to create to be a more consistent winner.
The Vikings opener against New Orleans was highly anticipated but also a huge snoozer. The Vikings looked like a team that was missing their top WR and had a QB that missed most of training camp, which they were. For a variety of reasons they were out of synch so even though the defense put the clamps on one of the league’s best offense they are 0-1 and need to rebound with a more promising performance in week 2 against Miami.
I know Brett Favre is a hall of famer but I still find it boggling that this team wants to be a passing team rather than hitching their wagon to stud RB Adrian Peterson. He may fumble more than they would like but he is also a fantastic talent capable of scoring on any play. Last week he averaged more than 4.5 per carry but saw less than 20 carries. Look for the Vikings to feed him the rock more often against Miami while they are still tryingt to sort out their passing game. Against the Dolphins he should be able to break some long gains.
The Vikings are lucky to come home in week 2 and face a mediocre Dolphins team. Their defense was solid against New Orleans but will face a more ground heavy attack this week. Last week they limited the Saints to just over three yards per carry. If they can do that again versus Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams it will be an even easier victory than expected. Sleep easy Vikings fans your team will not start 0-2.
The Pick: The Vikings will have a strong rebound against Miami. As long as the spread stays below 7 they are an easy favourite to back at home in this one.
College Football Gambling Trends
Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Dolphins are 11-25-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Vikings are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Score Prediction: Minnesota 34 – Miami 20
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