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Bills vs. Packers Gambling & NFL Free Prediction (Week 2)

The fans at Lambeau Field will be treated to a game between the Buffalo Bills and the Green Bay Packers when they take their seats on Sunday. Odds currently have the Packers listed as 14-point favorites, while the game’s total is sitting at 43.

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

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Sunday September 19 – 1:00PM
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, Wisconsin
Buffalo (0-1) vs Green Bay (1-0)
Moneyline: Green Bay -675, Buffalo +450
Spread Favourite: Green Bay -12.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 42.5
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)

Buffalo

Coming into the season the Buffalo Bills are certainly in the running for worst team in the league.  In their opener they did little to denounce their position falling to the Dolphins 15-10.  In that game the offense was pathetic.  They ran and threw for a combined 166 yards.  Their only play of any type over 20 yards was a 31 yard TD by Roscoe Parrish.  They were thoroughly outclassed by a defense that isn’t exactly elite either.  Coach Chan Gailey has been taking the blame like a good leader but a lot of the blame has to fall to QB Trent Edwards and his inability to push the ball down the field.

On the defensive side of the ball the Bill kept themselves in the game by limiting Miami’s passing attack (under 200 yards) and not allowing many big plays.  The Dolphins were able to move the ball on the ground and played keep away with an almost 14 minute advantage in time of possession.  The way their offense performed put a lot of pressure on their defense.  Against Green Bay it is going to be much more challenging to keep them out of the end zone putting even more pressure on both units.

Buffalo doesn’t have much of a chance against a team the calibre of Green Bay at this stage of the season where they are still trying to figure out some things about their team.  The spread for this game is the largest on the board this week as many question how the Bills are going to score, and better yet, how they are going to stop the Packers.  I do believe the Bills will improve throughout the season but this week will be their lowest point.

Green Bay

The Packers picked up the victory in week one but it came at a cost in starting running back Ryan Grant.  Grant is lost for the year and the AJ Hawk for Marshawn Lynch trade rumours are rampant.  I think this would be a good deal for the Packers and the Bills, who just happen to be playing each other on Sunday, but I also think the loss of Grant is overrated.  He is dependable but hardly a gamebreaker at running back.  As long as Brandon Jackson is healthy they should be just fine.

This is because of the emergence of Aaron Rodgers at QB.  Rodgers is becoming elite and the passing game is among the most lethal in the league.  The Bills may pride themselves on playing good pass defense but they are in for a real test this week, especially after Rodgers mediocre performance in the opener.  Last year he threw 7 picks all season, last week he threw 2 with only 188 yards passing.  In the season opener last year he had a similar game with only 184 yards, it was his second lowest total of the season.  I think we can expect a similar advance in production this year as well.

The reason folks are so high on Green Bay is that they are a complete team.  Their offense is very good and they have the defense to match.  Against Philly last week they were thrown for a loop when Mike Vick entered the game.  Vick deked his way to over 100 yards rushing but the running backs were held to under 50 yards.  The Pack jumped out to a commanding lead and most of the yardage the Eagles ran up was when the game was out of reach.  Sunday’s game should be pretty similar, minus the amazing running QB to chase.

The Pick: Green Bay should dominate this game from start to finish.  Despite the large spread I see no reason for Packer backers to sweat.

Football Gambling Trends:

BUF are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 2.
BUF are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
BUF are 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
GB are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
GB are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Over is 8-3 in GB last 11 games in September.

Score Prediction:  Green Bay 33 – Buffalo 17

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.