Cappers Tigers vs. Seminoles Betting Trends + Pick

November 4, 2008 by Ray M.

No. 24 Florida State Looks To Bounce Back From Heart-Breaking Loss against Clemson

The Clemson Tigers (4-4 SU, 1-5 ATS, 1-5 O/U) snapped a three-game losing streak by picking up a huge conference win on Saturday. The Florida State Seminoles (6-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U) lost an important conference matchup in heart-breaking fashion in the final seconds, also on Saturday.

Both teams will be gunning for a victory in the BetUS Sportsbook on Saturday when they meet at Doak Campbell Stadium.

The Tigers managed to beat Boston College 27-21 to cover the spread as 2.5-point road favorites despite the fact that senior quarterback Cullen Harper threw three interceptions while going 21-for 33 for 252 yards with one touchdown.

Wide receiver C.J. Spiller caught six passes for 105 yards and set up one touchdown with a 55-yard run. Running back

James Davis rushed 13 times for 52 yards with one touchdown and Harper added another on the ground despite rushing for a grand total of -17 yards.

Florida State sophomore quarterback Christian Ponder completed 16 of 27 passes for 149 yards with one touchdown and one interception as Florida State lost 31-28 to Georgia Tech on a last-second fumble by junior running back Marcus Sims inside the three-yard line.

Freshman running back Jermaine Thomas rushed nine times for 130 yards as the Seminoles played the 3-point spread to an exact push.

Here is a look at the key trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAF Free Picks.

Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
Clemson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson’s last 6 games on the road
Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Florida State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Clemson
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Clemson

NCAAF Odds

Clemson+6½ -110
Florida State -6½ -110

Analysis: While I expect the Florida State Seminoles to win this contest playing at home, I don’t think that they are a touchdown better than Clemson!

The fact of the matter is that these two teams are very evenly matched and should play a thriller that gets decided by a field goal.

The Seminoles win, but the cover goes to Clemson!