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Eagles vs. Lions Gambling Preview & NFL Prediction (Week 2)

The fans at Ford Field will be treated to a game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Detroit Lions when they take their seats on Sunday. Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game’s total is sitting at 41½.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions

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Sunday September 19 – 1:00PM
Ford Field, Detroit Michigan
Philadelphia (0-1) vs Detroit (0-1)
Moneyline: Philadelphia -210, Detroit +250
Spread Favourite: Philadelphia -6 (-110)
Over/Under: 41.5
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)

Philadelphia

The preseason is supposed to provide closure on things like who should be the starting QB but in Philadelphia they are in the middle of a dandy of a QB controversy.  After naming Kevin Kolb the starter they elected to hold onto Michael Vick as insurance.  When Kolb went down last week Vick performed like the Vick of old, running, throwing and kindling memories of old.  His play has  lead some to question the decision to start Kolb in the first place.  With Kolb still out it will be Vick getting the start this weekend.

I read an interesting stat:  Vick has not started an NFL games since 2006.  We all know he was unavailable for a while but when you see that date you realize just how long it has been.  Seeing him last week it looks like not much has changed…except for the fact that the Philadelphia Eagles has better weapons than he ever had in Atlanta.  When he extends the play now he can fling the ball to dynamic receiver DeSean Jackson or emerging TE Brent Celek.  It would help if the Eagles could muster a more consistent ground game without having to rely on Vick’s legs even though that threat is what makes him so hard to play against.

With all that is swirling in Philly a soft road game is exactly what the doctor ordered.  Detroit gave up a ton of yardage last week against Chicago, keeping themselves in the game by creating multiple turnovers.  Vick’s problem has always been his accuracy in completing plays not giving the ball to the other team so I am not worried about rust popping up through turnovers.

The Eagles should leave MoTown with a solid victory and an even larger QB controversy on their hands.

Detroit

I feel sorry for Detroit fans.  Everything heading into the season made it seem like things were on the up then in the first week of the season they lose a tough game and their starting QB.  In terms of the game, they were generally outplayed by the Bears but hung in there.  I am sure Detroit fans were expecting an implosion but they didn’t give in, seemingly winning it late.

As for the QB, everyone is downplaying the injury to Matthew Stafford but I don’t like the sound of a QB with a shoulder injury to start the season.  It seems like the kind of thing that could linger throughout and affect performance, even for someone with as big an arm as Stafford.

This week it looks like Shaun Hill will start at QB.  All week long people have noted Hill’s record as a starter but it says a lot if you lost your job to Alex Smith (of the 49ers).  Hill is a classic game manager kind of QB and it will be interesting to see what he can do with the weapons the Lions have assembled.  Last week his number were not great in relief but a week’s worth of reps should help.  Hill is the complete opposite of Stafford.  He has a smaller arm and will not take the kind of chances that lead to turnovers.  This will put pressure on the running game, which gained less than a yard per carry last week.

The only advantage for the Lions in this matchup is that they are at home.  Although that might actually hurt them if they perform poorly, inciting boos from the crowd.  Without offensive balance it is going to be very tough for Hill to have much success and he is not well suited for playing catchup. 

The best the Lions can hope for is a respectable showing for the home fans and that Stafford is right for next week.

The Pick: In a battle of backup QBs the edge is clearly with Philadelphia.  They are on the whole the better team and Stafford’s injury reinforces that part of the journey to becoming good is having depth. 

Philadelphia is the easy pick.

NFL Gambling Trends

Eagles are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Eagles are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Lions are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Score Prediction:  Philadelphia 31 – Detroit 20

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By The Wiesguy

The Wiesguy is a newcomer to the handicapping scene. Hailing from Toronto, Canada he is always sweet on the underdogs and you can often find his thoughts, musings and picks at moneydogs.blogspot.com.