Cappers Saints vs. Falcons Betting Trends + Pick

November 4, 2008 by Ray M.

NFL Week 10 Betting Trends – Surprising Falcons Host High-Scoring Saints

The New Orleans Saints (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS, 5-3 O/U) used their prolific offense to win their last contest two weeks ago and are well-rested after getting a bye in week 8. The Atlanta Falcons (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS, 3-5 O/U) are the biggest and best surprise of the season and have the look of a playoff participant at this point.

The teams will each be gunning for a victory for BetUS NFL sports betting fanatics in this important NFC South division matchup.

The inconsistent Saints have alternated wins and losses in each of their last six games, but managed to beat the San Diego Chargers in a high-scoring shootout 37-32 on Oct. 26 to even their record after eight games.

All-Pro quarterback Drew Brees completed 30 of 41 passes for 339 yards and three touchdowns while completing at least two passes to seven different receivers against the Chargers while helping the team cover the spread as 3-point home underdogs.

New Orleans will be looking for consecutive wins against a Falcons team that is coming off a dominating 24-0 pasting of the dysfunctional Oakland Raiders on Sunday.

Rookie quarterback Matt Ryan turned in another strong performance in completing 17 of 22 passes for 220 yards and two touchdowns while elusive running back Michael Turner continued torching opposing defenses by rushing for 139 yards on 31 carries.

Defensive end John Abrams sacked Raiders’ struggling quarterback JaMarcus Russell three times and Ryan completed passes to eight different receivers as the Falcons easily covered the spread as 3-point road favorites.

Here is a look at the key trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NFL Wagering Free Picks:

New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans’s last 13 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta’s last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games at home

NFL Odds

New Orleans Saints Pk -110
Atlanta Falcons Pk -110

Over 50 -110
Under 50 -110

Analysis: I’ve always liked Drew Brees a bunch and realize the Saints can score the ball like nobody’s business, but I like the Falcons to win this contest at home narrowly against a Saints defense that couldn’t stop running water on most days.

With this game being a ‘Pick’ I think the Falcons are obviously going to cover while I think the teams will narrowly go Over the set O/U total.