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Rams vs. Jaguars Trends + Week 6 Pick

October 18, 2009 by Ray M. 

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Expert NFL Week 6 Picks – St. Louis Rams vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

I guess someone has to win this Sunday’s matchup between the pathetic St. Louis Rams (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U) and perplexing Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U) when they battle at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium at 1 PM ET.

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The Rams looked totally clueless in their 38-10 loss to Minnesota while failing to cover the NFL game odds as a 10.5-point home underdog in Week 5. Backup quarterback Kyle Boller completed 20 of 31 passes for 209 yards with one interception for St. Louis while Steven Jackson rushed for 84 yards on 21 carries as the game’s final score played Over the 41-point O/U total.

The Jaguars looked even more apathetic than St. Louis, losing to Seattle 41-0 and coming nowhere close to covering the NFL money line as a 2-point underdog in Week 5.sportsbook kickoff 300x600 mybanner2 Rams vs. Jaguars Trends + Week 6 Pick

Quarterback, David Garrard completed 18 of 31 passes for 188 yards for Jacksonville but lost two fumbles while running back Maurice Jones-Drew was held to 35 yards on 12 carries in the loss and the game’s final score played Under the 44.5-point O/U total.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and NFL Game Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and NFL expert Picks.

Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Jaguars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Jaguars are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 home games.

NFL Odds

St. Louis Rams +10 -110
Jacksonville Jaguars -10 -110
Over 41½ -110
Under 41½ -110

Analysis: The Jaguars are the pick in this contest with the St. Louis Rams looking like they couldn’t beat the best high school team in the nation.

The Rams have gone 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

While the Jaguars have also recorded some poor wagering statistics by going 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an SU loss, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and a dismal 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, I say, they are the ‘lesser of two evils’ in this contest and will win and cover the spread at home.

While the Rams are averaging a disgusting 6.8 points per game, Jacksonville is putting up 19.4 points per contest and should be able to handle the Rams as they put up 37 and 31 points in victories over Tennessee and Houston this season.

Take the Jaguars to cover the NFL money line with just a bit of room to spare at home.

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Comments

One Response to “Rams vs. Jaguars Trends + Week 6 Pick”

  1. Dave Schwab on October 18th, 2009 11:58 am
    Dave Schwab

    The Rams are a bad team, but I not sure the Jaguars are that much better to be giving 10 points. This could be the week that St. Louis loses a close one.





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