MLB World Series Betting – Philadelphia at New York in Game 1 Showdown
The Philadelphia Phillies (100-71 SU, 88-81 RL, 77-84-8 O/U) and New York Yankees (110-61 SU, 95-76 RL, 79-83-9 O/U) will square off in Game 1 of the 2009 World Series tonight at 7:45 PM ET with both ballclubs looking to get off to a solid start behind their respective staff aces.
MLB betting enthusiasts everywhere are gearing up for what promises to be an absolutely thrilling matchup between the two highest scoring teams in all of baseball this season and this look at tonight’s contest and its key players will put avid pro baseball sports betting fanatics on the path toward making a winning wager in the MLB sports book.
Let’s start with a look at the key trends and MLB Odds for Game 1, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert MLB Free Pick.
Phillies are 6- 1 in their last 7 overall.
Phillies are 4- 1 in their last 5 World Series games.
Phillies are 4- 1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 4- 1 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Phillies are 6- 2 in their last 8 playoff road games.
Phillies are 4- 0 in Lee’s last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 6- 2 in Lee’s last 8 road starts.
Yankees are 7- 0 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Yankees are 5- 0 in their last 5 playoff home games.
Yankees are 4- 0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 6- 0 in Sabathia’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Yankees are 10- 1 in Sabathia’s last 11 home starts.
Under is 4- 0 in the last 4 meetings.
Under is 4- 0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.
Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -145
Cliff Lee – L +150
New York Yankees -1½
CC Sabathia –L -170
The Starters: Cliff Lee has gone 2-0 over his last three starts with a microscopic 0.70 ERA while CC Sabathia has gone 3-0 with an equally impressive 0.88 ERA over his last three starts.
Analysis: Maybe it’s me, but I like the Philadelphia Phillies’ chances against CC Sabathia tonight as they beat the Yankees gifted left-hander on May 24, scoring three runs off Sabathia in eight innings.
I believe they are going to ‘shock the world’ by getting to him again tonight, while simultaneously getting another outstanding performance from their own staff ace southpaw, Cliff Lee.
Both ballclubs have recorded some absolutely fantastic ATS wagering statistics coming into this matchup, making this pick a matter of which team – and starting pitcher bettors like better (no pun intended).
The reigning World Series champs have gone a scorching 6- 1 in their last seven games overall, 4- 1 in their last five World Series games and an identical 4- 1 in their last five interleague road games versus a left-handed starter.
The Yankees have gone a spotless 7- 0 in their last seven playoff games as a favorite, 5- 0 in their last five playoff home games and an equally impressive 4- 0 in their last four interleague games against a team with a winning record.
Both ballclubs have also been a lock to win behind their staff aces, going 4- 0 in Cliff Lee’s last four road starts versus a team with a winning record and an encouraging 6- 2 in Lee’s last eight road starts.
New York has recorded an unblemished 6-0 mark in CC Sabathia’s last six home starts against a team with a winning record while also going an incendiary 10- 1 in Sabathia’s last 11 home starts.
Again, I like the Phillies in this contest as I genuinely believe they won’t make the same blunders that the Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Angels did in their postseason series losses against New York.
I like the fact that Philadelphia has gone 4- 1 in their last five playoff games as an underdog and 6- 2 in their last eight playoff road games and love the challenge of beating the best that baseball has to offer.
I’ll also go on record to say that the best play of all may be to play the Under in this contest as Lee and Sabathia likely won’t give up many combined runs in this matchup. The Under has gone a spotless 4- 0 in the last four meetings between these two teams while also going an identical 4- 0 in the last four meetings between these rivals in New York.
I say the Phils win, and cover the Run Line at the very least, but I will also admit to my beloved baseball betting brethren, the Yankees have given me three of my six postseason losses in what has been an absolutely incendiary 19-6 postseason wagering record so far.
MLB Free Picks: Phillies +1½ Runs/Under 7½ Total Runs