THE NFL DOUBLE TAKE
An incredible string of winning NFL picks continued for Cras as he had a 3-1 effort last Sunday.
That improved his season record to 22 winners, 11 losers and three pushes through the first nine weeks.
Meanwhile Mike’s streak slowed with the first winless weekend for either Sportsbook.com writer this year. He’s still had a profitable season though with an 18-15-3 record.
Here’s how they like the Week 10 games.
Mike: Chicago quarterback Kyle Orton does not appear to be as badly injured as previous thought, but Rex Grossman is still going to start this game at quarterback. This is the same guy that had a 48 quarterback rating last week against Detroit and who is known for throwing interceptions.
Tennessee proved they were human last week by failing to cover the spread at home versus Green Bay. The Titans may have trouble running the ball effectively but the Bears will as well. The oddsmakers aren’t giving a lot of respect for an undefeated team giving just a field goal. I think that’s a big mistake with Grossman behind center.
Pick: Tennessee -3
Cras: The betting public loves the Titans chances of improving to 9-0 as they are being backed by 78% of Sportsbook.com members. A large part of that betting likely has to do with the fact that it appears that Rex Grossman will start as the Bears’ QB.
You’d be wise to not discount the Bears at home though. They beat the Philadelphia Eagles earlier this season and the defense has the ability to step up and make game-changing plays in big situations. I’m in the small minority here but I am with Chicago fans in this one.
Pick: Chicago +3
Mike: No one would have predicted that New Orleans would be trailing Atlanta heading into this game, but that’s parity in the NFL. The Saints are coming off their bye-week after playing in London but Reggie Bush still won’t play. However, New Orleans has enough other weapons where offense will not be a problem.
I haven’t been a big believer of Atlanta all year but they really dominated in Oakland last week 24-0. They also are undefeated at home although two of those wins were against Detroit and Kansas City. Atlanta is going to put up their share of points in this game, but I think it will be too much Drew Brees and New Orleans gets the outright win.
Pick: Saints +1
Cras: For all the talk about the Saints being a huge disappointment, they are 5-3 ATS this season but have struggled on the road with a 1-3 ATS record. Despite that road record, the Saints are attracting the attention of bettors, even with Reggie Bush still out with his knee injury.
The lack of respect for the Falcons at this point is surprising. I can understand bettors being weary of Atlanta early in the season but they have continued to win and must be taken for real. They have a solid run game, rookie quarterback Matt Ryan has performed better than expected and the defense is sufficient. You’ve got to take them at home.
Pick: Atlanta -1
Mike: Both teams need this game badly at 4-4 and it was the Packers who won the opening meeting between the teams, 24-19 in Week 1. Minnesota has won two out of their last three games but two of those were home wins over Detroit and Houston. Adrian Peterson will have success running the ball but Gus Frerotte will have to make his share of plays to win this game.
Green Bay running back Ryan Grant has been much more productive the last four weeks and quarterback Aaron Rodgers should have success against the Minnesota secondary even though his shoulder still isn’t 100%. I’m taking the points as I believe Green Bay is easily the better overall team.
Pick: Green Bay +2.5
Cras: The Green Bay Packers took the cash when these two teams opened their season at Lambeau Field on opening weekend and in three of the last four meetings with their border-state rivals. Bettors are also turned on by the fact that Green Bay has covered three straight and enters off a close contest over the only undefeated team in the league, Tennessee.
Again, the home team is not getting respect in this game and that’s just wrong. The Vikings still have Adrian Peterson running the ball and quarterback Gus Frerotte has thrown for almost 500 yards over the last two weeks. Minnesota is 3-1 straight-up at home and would be 4-0 if not for a stunning loss to Indy. You can’t discount the fact they play well in the dome.
Pick: Minnesota -2.5
Mike: New England is 5-3 this year and 3-1 at home, but the only home game they covered was their blowout win over Denver. Buffalo is also 5-3 and 2-2 on the road, but they stunk it up in their last two away games at Arizona and Miami.
This is a giant game for both teams with the winner staying in first place in the AFC East. New England is once again hurting at running back which means they will stick with the short passing game with Matt Cassel. They should also take a few more chances down the field. I can’t envision the Patriots losing in front of the home crowd in such a big spot, and while I would feel a lot better giving three-points, I’m still taking the favorite.
Pick: New England -3.5
Cras: The Patriots have covered seven of the last 10 games against their divisional rival, including three straight. They enter off a tough loss in Indianapolis, a game that they should have won. The fact that a New England team without Tom Brady should have beaten Peyton Manning and the Colts has bettors eager to pick the Pats.
This has the makings of a great game with a young Bills team that started hot but has tailed off with a pair of losses and can gain respect back by slaying the Giant. I’m not sure they can take down the Patriots but I am confident they can keep it close. This game is for the division lead and I expect it to be decided by a field goal.
Pick: Buffalo +3.5