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Posted on 01/26/2008 10:20 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff

Superbowl Handicapping Guide From CappersPicks.com

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Super Bowl MVP

The Big Game is still a week away, but Sportsbook.com is taking a look at the most popular proposition bet, Super Bowl MVP.

Here’s a look at all the favorites:

Tom Brady (1:2)

A quarterback wins the Super Bowl MVP a little more than 50% of the time and Brady already has two of these awards under his belt. With the New England Patriots a heavy favorite to win the game, ‘Tom Terrific’ deserves to be the heavy favorite for this year’s award.

Eli Manning (7:2)

Manning has seen his stock rise with three very good playoff performances to get the New York Giants to this point. If the Giants can pull off the historic upset, Eli could very well match brother Peyton’s MVP from last year.

Laurence Maroney (5:1)

A running back hasn’t won the award since Denver’s Terrell Davis in Super Bowl 32. If the Giants stay in nickel and dime coverage, it will force New England to run the ball. That means a lot of carries for Maroney and perhaps his third consecutive 120+ yard game.

Randy Moss (7:1)

Moss has been basically absent in New England’s first two playoff games. However, with the warm weather site coupled with a mediocre Giants’ secondary, Moss should get a lot of passes thrown his way.

Wes Welker (8:1)

The other Patriots prime-time receiver is a master of finding the open spot in the zone and running after the catch. If the outside receivers are double covered, that will mean a lot of check-down receptions for Welker..

Plaxico Burress (8:1)

Burress is the main receiving threat for the Giants and had a huge NFC Championship game with 151 receiving yards against the Green Bay Packers. Burress will have a big size and strength advantage over the smaller Patriots cornerbacks.

Brandon Jacobs (10:1)

One half of the Giants running attack, Jacobs uses his 265 pounds of muscle to hammer away at the defense. That’s not easy to do against the Patriots’ stout 3-4 defense and it’s even tougher to become the MVP when sharing carries with Ahmad Bradshaw.

Kevin Faulk (12:1)

Faulk is a third-down back extraordinaire, and he is extremely important to the Patriots’ chances of winning or losing. However, with all the other weapons in New England’s arsenal, Faulk doesn’t have a lot of MVP value at these odds.

Ahmad Bradshaw (15:1)

Bradshaw is a rookie out of Marshall and runs much tougher than his stature suggests. He is always a threat to take it the distance and is certainly a good Super Bowl MVP sleeper.

Amani Toomer (18:1)

Toomer and defensive end Michael Strahan are the only two players left from the Giants’ team that lost Super Bowl 35 to Baltimore. While Toomer’s stats have declined the last few years, he is still dangerous.

Other Players

Both of the kickers, Lawrence Tynes and Stephen Gostkowski are listed at 25:1. There are also of lot of defensive players listed at 50:1. Remember, safety Dexter Jackson was the Super Bowl 37 MVP when Tampa Bay destroyed Oakland, 48-21.

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