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Don’t be surprised if a boxing match
breaks out between the Tennessee Titans,
(10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS, 5-10 O/U) and San Diego
Chargers, (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS, 8-6 O/U)
this weekend, considering the teams’ recent
history.
When the teams met on Dec. 9 in a contest
the Chargers won 23-17 in overtime, there
were four players who were fined a combined
total of $32,500 by the NFL for various
infractions and several more players who
were lucky to escape some sort of punishment
or fine.
After handing the Titans their only loss
in their last five games, Chargers all-pro
linebacker Shawne Merriman accused several
Titans players, most notably, former all-pro
center Kevin Mawae, of taking some cheap
shots during the course of the game, one
of which Merriman claims left him with
an injured knee.
Bad blood aside, San Diego has been on
something of a roll, winning their final
six regular season games and 10 of their
last 12 contests to storm into the postseason.
However,
the Chargers won 10 straight games going
into last season’s playoffs
before getting unceremoniously bounced
out of the postseason by the New England
Patriots in their first game.
The Titans enter this game after fighting
for their playoff lives in their regular
season finale last week, beating the Indianapolis
Colts 16-10 to sneak in the back door after
a miserable stretch of football in the
middle of the regular season.
Starting quarterback Vince Young was injured
against the Colts, but will undoubtedly
play in this contest if he can breathe.
The Chargers led the NFL with 30 interceptions
this season and finished fifth in scoring
defense, allowing a miniscule 17.8 points
per game but were ranked just 20th in offense,
averaging 315.2 yards and 25.8 points per
game despite having one of the best offensive
minds in the game in head coach Norv Turner.
The Titans
fielded the league’s
21st-ranked offense, averaging 311.7 yards
and just 18.8 points per game. Tennessee
also posted the fifth-best overall defense
in the league, allowing just 291.6 yards
and 18.6 points per game.
Here is
a look at tonight’s Key
Trends, followed by my NFL Betting Free
Picks.
Key Titans Trends
The Titans are 7-0 ATS in their last seven
games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five
playoff road games.
The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five
road games vs. a team with a winning home
record.
Key Chargers Trends
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last
five games following a S.U. win.
The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last
six games as a favorite.
The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last
five games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 8-1-1 in Titans last ten
games following a S.U. win.
The Under is 6-1-1 in Titans last eight
games following a ATS win.
The Under is 4-0 in Chargers last four
games in January.
The Under is 6-2 in Chargers last eight
home games vs. a team with a winning road
record.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last four
meetings.
Analysis:
This pick is an absolute ‘no-brainer’.
Despite the fact that they are playing
at home – and learned a valuable
lesson during last season’s playoff
loss to the Patriots, I like the Tennessee
Titans to cover the spread in this matchup
while falling to the Chargers. Both teams
feature excellent defenses that should
keep this game close until the very end.
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