NFL Heads to Toronto as Steelers Face Bills
BetUS NFL Betting Odds: BUFFALO -2, Total 33
NOTABLE STAT: Bills were 30th in NFL in scoring in 2007 (15.8 ppg)
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Pittsburgh has played 11 unders in their last 13 pre-season games .
Two NFL teams will go north of the border on Thursday night, as the Buffalo Bills (7-9 SU, 10-6 ATS, 0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS in pre-season) will host the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS, 1-0 SU & ATS in pre-season) in an NFL exhibition game that is set to get underway at 7:30 PM ET at the Rogers Centre (artificial turf) in Toronto, which is also home to the Blue Jays.
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In the BetUS NFL pre-season football betting odds, the Bills are listed as a two-point favorite, with the total posted at 33 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
* BUF has lost five of its last seven games SU
* BUF has covered six of its last eight home games
* BUF has played five of its last six home games OVER the total
* PITT has lost four of its last five games SU
* PITT has played its last four games OVER the total
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
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* BUF has lost eight of its last 11 pre-season games SU
* BUF has played 10 of its last 13 pre-season games UNDER the total
* PITT has won five of its last six pre-season games SU
* PITT has played 11 of its last 13 pre-season games UNDER the total
This will be the first game for the Bills in Toronto since making a $78 million deal to stage eight games there over the next five years, a deal that has some CFL loyalists so up in arms that they plan to picket the game.
Charlie Batch suffered a broken collarbone in the game against Philadelphia this past weekend, so the Steelers went out and signed Byron Leftwich, the former Jacksonville starter who has been looking for a job. Leftwich's first practice with Pittsburgh was on Monday, but he will most likely see action with the team on Thursday. Elsewhere on the QB front, Ben Roethlisberger completed a couple of passes last week, while Dennis Dixon also got a baptism, completing six passes, but for only 30 yards.
Rashard Mendenhall looks like he is going to be a valuable addition (34 yards on seven carries vs. the Eagles), so we would expect him to proceed. But with nine first downs last Friday and some further experimentation at the quarterback spot, the Steelers might struggle to get some execution going.
That's good news for the Bills defense, which allowed Washington quarterbacks Todd Collins and Jason Campbell to complete 15 of 21 passes for almost ten yards a completion, and allowed five yards a carry.
J.P. Losman looked sharp for the Bills last week in their loss to the Redskins, completing seven out of nine passes. Losman is not really in the running for the starting job, but he is taking the attitude that he is, which is a healthy thing. Don't look for Marshawn Lynch to necessarily play an increased role, as he had only three carries against Washington and does not need to overwork himself as he is going to carry most of the load in the backfield in 2008.
The Bills may be especially pumped as this relationship with Toronto begins. But management may be more excited than the players. And after all, this is an exhibition. Honestly, I can see the trend continuing for the Steelers, who have played 11 of their last 13 pre-season games under the total. We'll go in that direction, as the number is posted at __ points in the BetUS NFL pre-season football betting odds.
JAY'S PLAY: UNDER 33
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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