Posted
on 01/10/2008 10:55 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Football Betting - NFC Playoffs, Seattle at Green Bay
NOTABLE
STAT: Seattle has 45 quarterback
sacks on the season
KEY
NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Green
Bay is 6-1-1 ATS at home this season
The Seattle Seahawks (11-6 SU, 10-6-1
ATS) and coach Mike Holmgren, coming into
very familiar territory, try to advance
to the NFC championship game as they visit
Lambeau Field (grass) to play the Green
Bay Packers (13-3 SU, 12-3-1 ATS) in the
divisional round of the NFC playoffs. Kickoff
is set for 4:30 PM ET on Saturday.
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds,
the Packers are listed at -8, with the
total posted at 42.5 points.
Here are some of the NFL betting trends
and stats relative to this matchup:
* SEA has won and covered seven of its
last nine games
* SEA is 3-5 ATS on the road this season
* SEA is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road
games
* SEA has won two of its last six road
games SU
* SEA is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 getting
eight points or more
* GB has won 17 of its last 20 games SU
* GB is 6-1-1 ATS at home this season
* GB has played five of its last seven
home games OVER the total
* GB has played seven straight games OVER
the total
* GB is 7-2-1 ATS as a favorite this season
* GB is 0-3 ATS in its last three home
playoff games
* GB has won four of the last six meetings
SU
* SEA is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games
at Green Bay
Statistically speaking, these teams are
incredibly similar. Seattle scores 25 points
per game, Green Bay 27. Seattle and Green
Bay both allow 18 points a game. Both have
averaged 100 yards rushing per game. Seattle
has scored 48 touchdowns; Green Bay 49.
On defense, both allowed 291 points. Seattle
allowed 101 rushing yards a game, Green
Bay 103. Seattle yielded 211 yards through
the air per game, Green Bay 210.
Matt Hasselbeck of Seattle has completed
63% of his passes, compared to 67% for
Brett Favre. Both have thrown 28 touchdowns,
and Hasselbeck has tossed less interceptions
(12) than Favre has (15).
Yes, Seattle has Shaun Alexander, the
MVP a couple of years ago, in the backfield,
along with Maurice Morris. But Green Bay
became a multi-dimensional offensive team
when Ryan Grant emerged. Grant gained 956
yards despite starting just seven games,
moved for five yards a pop and had eleven
runs of 20 yards or more. That's impressive,
and that was what the Packers and Favre
really needed.
Seattle played
only three teams who made the playoffs
this year, defeating Tampa Bay in the
season's opening week, getting shut out
at Pittsburgh, and dusting off Washington
in the first playoff round. For a period
of 11 weeks, the Seahawks didn't play
anyone who made the post-season. Is this
a paper tiger or a team that can be competitive
on the "frozen tundra"?
The answer
is yes. Seattle does a lot of things
pretty well, but they happen to rush
the passer extremely well, tallying 45
sacks in the regular season, behind only
the Giants, Patriots and Cowboys. They
have a quarterback in Hasselbeck who
is more mature than the guy who, several
years ago, told the officials at the start
of overtime, "We want the ball...and
we're going to score," before throwing
an interception to Al Harris that was returned
for a touchdown. And they have the experienced
coaching staff led by Mike Holmgren, who
has been around - this is his 24th post-season
game as a head coach.
Green Bay scored a couple of early-season
wins over the Giants and Chargers, but
like Seattle, was not tested to the limit
in the regular season other than in Dallas,
where they came up ten points short. This
may indeed be the most talented Packers
team Favre has played on, as he professes,
but there have been no post-season covers
in the last three games at Lambeau. The
Seahawks have become increasingly dependent
on the pass, but that doesn't mean they
CAN'T run the ball.
The bottom line here is that I just think
there is some value in this number. We'll
grab the points with the Seahawks, the
eight-point underdog in the BetUS NFL football
betting odds.
BetUS
NFL betting odds: GREEN BAY -8,
Total: 42.5
NFL Free Pick: JAY'S PLAY: SEATTLE
> > Check
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vs. Packers Betting Article
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