NFL Furious Football Betting Opinion - Question Marks In Backfield
Yesterday, I analyzed some of the new
tag-teams in the NFL and projected on how
they would affect the online betting trends
heading in to the 2008-09 NFL Season. Still,
there are a plethora of teams that have
questions at running-back, largely because
they have so many. Here are some of the
tried and tested tandems that you need
to keep your eye on before you go lumping
money on the NFL futures we have in our
BetUS sportsbook.
THE PLATOONS
Oakland Raiders
You have Young Hugg and Michael Bush waiting
in the wings. Add Darren McFadden to a
team that 130.4 yards per game and you
have a recipe for danger in the AFC West.
The Chargers, Chiefs and Broncos all have
question marks, and the Raiders could surprise
some people with McFadden exploding on
to the scene.
Yet the betting
faithful of the Black and Silver beware – this team has
too many question marks elsewhere (namely
rush defense and passing the ball with
an unproven quarterback), but one thing
you wont’ have to worry about is
this rushing attack. Three solid, young
backs and an offensive line that is only
good at blocking for the run makes the
Raiders platoon a dangerous one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
When Cadillac went down against the Carolina
Panthers with a hideous knee injury, the
Bucs looked screwed. Michael Pittman is
a powerful, bicep-flexing runner, but he
was never an every-down guy. Then came
Earnest Graham, who rushed for 898 yards,
4.0 yards per carry on 222 attempts with
ten touchdowns, rewarding fantasy football
waiver wire wizards and the Tampa betting
faithful alike.
Everyone was waiting for the bubble to
burst with Graham, but it never did, and
the Bucs cruised to an NFC South Championship
and a playoff berth. With Cadillac likely
shelved for most of the upcoming season,
Graham will get the start again. Tampa
averaged 117.0 rushing yards per game,
and will lean on the rushing attack again
en route to another NFC Championship.
Overall,
I think Tampa is a great sleeper team
because they play in such a horrific
division. So, at +1400 to win the NFC
Championship, I don’t’ see
a better value out there.
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Tennessee Titans
Holy crap
what is going on here? They have LenDale
White, a bruising fat boy who proved
he can carry the load last season. To
spell him, they have the elusive Chris
Henry. Now they drafted Chris Johnson for
no explicable reason, leaving tons of solid
linemen and receiver on the board (they
ended up with Lavelle Hawkins…whoop-dee-do).
On top of that they have Vince Young, who
still runs all the damn time! I’m
not even bothering with trends or stats
here because the Titans are wheeling themselves
in to the dirt way before anybody can hop
on this betting bandwagon heading nowhere.
TROUBLED TANDEMS
Deuce McAllister
/ Reggie Bush – New
Orleans Saints
Yikes. The
Saints may go marching on, but it’s not going to be behind these
two. I love Deuce. He’s an outstanding
back, but health has been a problem for
this guy for four straight seasons. When
he’s healthy, he’s insanely
productively. In an injury shortened season,
he was averaging 3.8 yards per carry but
failed to notch a touchdown.
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Then there
was Reggie Bush, who accumulated 581 yards
rushing, 417 receiving yards and six total
touchdowns. The problem with Reggie, as
always, is that he has learned from the
Willie Parker School of Hard Knocks. The
mantra is “run for three-yards, instead
of losing four trying to break off a big
gain”. Maybe if they move Reggie to
wear NFL scouts have him projected at, as
a slot receiver, the numbers will improve.
But Coach Payton’s gameplans aren’t
becoming creative enough to adapt to Reggie’s
strengths. Couple that with Deuce’s
growing injury concerns and the Saints at
+900 isn’t a great bet.
Julius Jones
/ T.J. Duckett – Seattle
Seahawks
Let’s face it – the
Seahawks had to get rid of Shaun Alexander.
How many times could Seahawks fans bear
to watch Shaun run out of bounds instead
of taking a hit for two extra yards? For
my money, not much.
Enter Julius
Jones, the brother of Jets running-back
Thomas Jones, a very strong runner who
was overshadowed by the insanely violent
style of Marion Barber. Now Jones gets
a second chance on a team with a very strong
focus on the passing game. Seattle barely
averaged 101.5 rushing yards per game last
year…and now that looks like
an impossible task.
Jones is a
shifty runner, who has a mountain of beef
crashing for small gains to cover the downs
in Duckett, but the offensive-line in Seattle
has collapsed in recent years, and now
Mack Strong is gone. I hate Seattle’s
chances in the playoffs to begin with, but
at least Jones brings some credibility to
a running game that has been a joke for two
straight years.
Fred Taylor
/ Maurice Jones-Drew – Jacksonville
Jaguars
Taylor and
Mojo combined to lead Jacksonville to the
playoffs in 2008, steadying the team with
149.4 yards gained on the ground. Mojo’s
season was highlighted when he lit up “Light’s
Out” on a savage block. Taylor is ageless,
and until he shows signs of slowing down
(which he hasn’t at all…ever),
the first-time pro-bowler, Jacksonville will
be a punishing ground force.
What’s to like even more about this
team is the signs of life the passing game
showed last year with steady-eddy, David
Garrard, at the helm. Now that he has viable
weapons like Jerry Porter and Reggie Williams
(finally!), teams can’t stack the line
against Taylor or Maurice. A balanced means
trouble for opposing defenses, and profit
for the Jags’ betting investors at
+900 to win the AFC Championship.
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