NFL
Football Futures Betting - Analyzing
The NFC North
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has posted NFL betting odds to win the
Super Bowl at the website, but that's just
part of an extensive menu of sports betting
props that online wagering fans interested
in football betting can get themselves
immersed in. There are rookies of the year
props, NFL betting odds to win each division
and each of the two conferences, and regular
season win totals as well. Part of that
process involves examining the over/under
totals on wins for each team in each division.
Today's division is the NFC North
BetUS NFL Futures Betting Odds
CHICAGO BEARS
Under 8 wins -120
Over 8 wins -120
The Bears
have some problems, especially since
it appears the Cedric Benson controversies
may not end. Unless they come up with a
running game rather early on, there is
not going to be enough offense to keep
this team competitive, especially since
there was not a significant upgrade in
the receiver corps. There is no guarantee
that Rex Grossman is going to be any more
reliable this year than he was last season,
and even though there are star-level players
on the defensive side, along the line that
defense is going to break down if it is
on the field for too long. The prospects
for this team do not excite or inspire
me. In this "pick'em" situation,
I'm looking at an UNDER here.
DETROIT LIONS
Over 6.5 wins -160
Under 6.5 wins +120
The Lions admittedly came in with a tougher
attitude under Rod Marinelli. But one has
to understand that turning this thing around
involve changing a culture, and I don't
think that is something that takes place
very quickly. This is a losing organization,
and in the opinion of many, that will not
reverse itself until someone replaces Matt
Millen atop the football operation.
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The Lions should
be able to move the ball with their corps
of wide receivers - Calvin Johnson and
Roy Williams, along with Mike Furrey -
and Jon Kitna has been a quarterback who
has at least been able to generate stats,
even if it hasn't translated to winning.
But Kitna makes mistakes, and I expect
somewhere along the way Marinelli is going
to decide that he needs to start the transition
to somebody like Drew Stanton.
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Because that will probably bring this team's
overall performance down, I would gravitate
to the UNDER in this prop, relative to the
inviting +120 price.
GREEN BAY PACKERS
Under 8 wins -130
Over 8 wins -110
The Packers, to a considerable extent, were
a product of whatever rabbits Brett Favre
could pull out of his hat, at least this
past season. There is no guarantee that Aaron
Rodgers is going to be effective as the replacement,
or that Brian Brohm can perform at a high
level if he's called upon in his rookie season.
And was Ryan Grant's sensational season,
which included a 200-yard performance against
Seattle in the playoffs, a fluke? We'll see,
but you have to give Grant the benefit of
the doubt because he came right in an injected
balance into this offense. You have to remember
that essentially the remainder of that Packer
team is in place, including some wide receivers
that really emerged under Favre the last
couple of years, and that this team was good
enough to go to the NFC Championship game.
So this is not a bunch of chumps. And in
the NFC North, where all the other teams
have some question marks around them, this
is enough where you can't write the Pack
off. I would lean to the OVER here.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Under 8.5 wins -135
Over 8.5 wins -105
I like Minnesota in the division because
when you have an offensive line with people
like Matt Burk, Steve Hutchinson, Bryant
McKinnie, et al, along with a running game
that packs a 1-2 punch (Adrian Peterson,
Chester Taylor) that exceeds anything else
in the league, you can hide some of the shortcomings
of your quarterback (in this case, Tarvaris
Jackson). And when you consider this defensive
line stops the run, and should get help for
the secondary in the form of an improved
pass rush (with the addition of Jared Allen),
you are looking at a team with the best superlatives
in the NFC North. They are also probably
the most well-rounded team, and can keep
a lot of the burden off the star (Peterson),
which will reduce the wear-and-tear on his
body. I think this call is easy - I'd go
OVER the 8.5 wins on this one.
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