Posted
on 01/16/2008 4:55 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Wagering Trends - NFC Championship Conference
38 year old gunslinger Brett Favre joined
Joe Montana as the lone players to pass
for more than 5,000 yards in the postseason,
as the Green Bay Packers delivered the
Seattle Seahawks a 42-20 spanking in Saturday's
division championship game.
The Packers are 7-2 ATS (against the spread)
in their last nine games after scoring
more than 30 points in their previous game,
and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following
a SU win of more than 14 points. They are
19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
The Packers reached the NFC title game
for the first time since the 1997 season,
thanks to a personal best playoff three
touchdown passes thrown by Favre. He also
extended his own record by throwing a touchdown
pass in his 17th straight postseason game.
Favre improved
to 43-5 SU (straight up) at Green Bay
when game time temperatures are 34 degrees
or colder. It was 31 at kickoff on Saturday.
When the Packers host the New York Giants
in Sunday's NFC championship conference,
the Lambeau crazed fans will be hoping
for temps cold enough to freeze hell.
And, they'll get what they wish for as
Green Bay's extended forecast is calling
for a high of 12°F on game day.
Sunday's game is the perfect definition
of home-field advantage as was proven against
the Seahawks on Saturday. To make matters
worse for Giants investors, the Packers
have covered the spread in its last five
homies. But the road team is 4-0 ATS in
the last four games in this series.
We all know Favre can handle blustery
conditions, but how will Eli Manning and
the Giants handle the frigid conditions?
Late in the season, Manning really struggled
in nasty weather. However, Giants are 5-1
ATS in their last six games in January
and have covered the spread in their last
six games away from home.
New York doesn't have a turnover in two
playoff games and if they're going to pull
off another upset they'll need to again
take care of the rock. Even if the Giants
play a perfect game, keep in mind they
are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
NFL odds list Green Bay the early 7-point
favorites with a game total of 42. Don't
miss this stellar game kicking off Sunday
at 6:30pm EST. There will be live wagering
offered throughout the game.
Mike McCarthy has his team playing extremely
well and believing his club should be in
the Super Bowl, and who doesn't love the
feel-good story of Favre getting back to
the big show and trying to go out on top
like John Elway.
2008 AFC Championship
Preview >>
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