Posted
on 01/10/2008 10:55 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping
Staff
NFL Playoff Betting
- The Patriots Host The Jaguars
Will someone
please tell the Jaguars that goading
the Patriots right before a game is not
a good idea! Defensive-end Paul Spicer
thought it necessary to reaffirm that
he stands by his comments earlier this
season that New England cheated earlier
this season. Just ask Pittsburgh how well
grinding New England’s gears worked
for them.
Meanwhile, the Brady Bunch will be looking
to solidify their place in history as they
invite the Jaguars in to Gillette to get
thrashed by Belichik's genius. Can this
defense, which has showed signs of weakness
lately, overcome the Jacksonville rushing
attack?
Jacksonville Offense vs. New England Defense
David Garrard
has completely justified Jack Del Rio’s decision to start
him at the beginning of the season. The
Jags, surprisingly, average 208.0 yards
per game. Jacksonville’s stable of
receivers were all tall, athletic, and
seemingly useless. But Garrard has turned
them all in to scoring threats, taking
advantage of the height and speed and Del
Rio adores so much. The Jags have stunned
the NFL by averaging 25.7 points per game.
But the real
problem for New England here is their
rushing defense. It’s no
secret that Del Rio will attack the front-seven
with ironman Fred Taylor and Maurice “Mojo” Jones-Drew
relentlessly. The Jags average 149.4 rushing
yards per game, while New England has given
up 98.3 rush yards against on average.
The Jags must grind up the clock and keep
Brady on the sidelines by pounding the
rock all night long.
New England Offense vs. Jacksonville Defense
As much as
everyone loves Jacksonville to upset
the Patriots this weekend, you can’t
count out the Brady-Moss factor. Just
as they did against Dallas, Indianapolis,
New York and Baltimore, Brady and Moss
connected on big-plays late in the game
to put the game out of reach.
All it takes
is one slip-up to turn the tides in New
England’s favor, and
you can bet on the overly aggressive Jacksonville
secondary that will undoubtedly make a
crucial mistake in coverage against Moss
or Stallworth. The Jags give up 213.8 passing
yards and 1001.1 rushing yards.
The Patriots
averaged a startling 295.7 passing yards
during the season, and this game will
be placed squarely in Brady’s
hands to win. Maroney has shown flashes
of solid up-field running, but the Patriots
control the ball by letting Wes Welker
dominate the middle of the field. Bet on
Brady to confuse the Jaguars defense by
unleashing the pigskin all over the field,
keeping the Jaguars on their heels, and
the Patriots in the red-zone.
NFL Betting Trends
-Jacksonville is 7-2 ATS in its last 9
games
-Jacksonville is 6-3 ATS in its last 9
games on the road
-Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6
games when playing New England
-New England is 15-7 ATS in its last 22
games
-New England is 1-6 ATS in its last 6
games
Final Verdict
In short,
the football betting investor has to
decide between two vastly different teams.
On one hand, you have the Jaguars, who
fail to boast a player on their roster
with a vast amount of playoff experience,
with a coach who has failed to produce
in the playoffs and a quarterback who has
only played in one big playoff matchup.
On the other end are the dynasty building
Patriots, with the AP Coach of the Year
managing the best team in league history.
Take your pick on who you think is going
to be affected by the playoff pressure
in this one (hint: it’s the Jaguars).
Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5) vs. New England
Patriots (16-0)
Saturday, Januarys 12th --- Gillette Stadium,
Foxboro --- 8:00pm EST
Opening NFL Betting Line: New England
-11.5 (48.5)
NFL Playoff Free Pick: Jacksonville 14
New England 31
> > Check
The Divisional Playoff Odds Here
>> Jags vs. Pats
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