NFL Furious Football Preview - AFC South Futures
The AFC South has become one of the premier
divisions in football. Before, when it
boasted the Colts, who won the Superbowl
in 2006, the AFC South had three other
teams which merely acted as filler. Now,
only the Texans find themselves without
realistic Superbowl aspirations.
The Colts
are the favorites, but everyone is loving
the Jaguars heading in to the 2008 NFL
betting season. But what about those
surly Titans, who screwed up in the draft
by not taking a premier receiver? Let’s take a look at what has become
the toughest division in the AFC (yes – tougher
than the AFC North).
Houston Texans (+1500 to win AFC South)
The Texans were an impossible team to grade
last year until Andrew Johnson came back
in to the fold. Even then, quarterback
Matt Schaub found out first hand what
it’s like to be a Texans quarterback
since he spent half his time picking
turf out of his facemask.
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Schaub was sacked 16 times, while passing
for 2,241 yards on 289 attempts. Yet, without
a viable backup to the injury riddled Johnson,
the Texans are a tough bet even at profitable
odds.
Yet, the
reason you’ll love them
during the season is because of their defense
was a lot better than their numbers suggested.
They allowed 344.2 yards against per game
and 24+ points per game. But they kept
games close with an explosive offense.
Whether they can keep up with the other
three playoff-worthy teams in the division
remains to be seen. For now, stay clear.
Indianapolis Colts (-200 to win AFC South)
Injuries killed the Colts playoff chances,
but they’re still the best team
in this division. Peyton, Marvin, Wayne
and Addai notwithstanding, we’re
looking at a stalwart defense that allowed
only 279.7 yards against per game.
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Securing Bob Sanders
was the right move, but it’s hard to
look beyond the division title that the Colts
are sure to win.
Overall, I’m
genuinely concerned about the health of Marvin
Harrison. The Colts managed 252.1 yards per
game through the air with Dallas Clark and
Reggie Wayne going nuts.
This team is
balanced, and while they didn’t
make a lot of sexy off-season moves, there
was nothing seriously wrong with the Colts
to begin with. Barring any serious injury
to Bob Sanders, the Colts should repeat as
AFC South Champions once again.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+200 to win AFC South)
If there’s any team in the league that
threatens the well being of the Colts in
the AFC South, it’s the Jaguars. Acquiring
Jerry Porter was incredibly smart...and sneaky.
It’s a move that will ensure David
Gerrard’s success now that he’s
banked the biggest contract in league history.
The Jags had the seventh best offense in
the league with 357.4 yards gained, mostly
on the ground, while putting up 25.7 points
per game.
Still, I’m not going to get over the
Jaguars giving Baltimore three draft picks
just to get Derrick Harvey. I just won’t.
The Jags have been patient throughout the
years. It will be a stiff battle between
the Colts and your money will be well spent
investing in the long-term success of the
Jaguars.
Tennessee Titans (+800 to win AFC South)
I said it in the draft, and I’ll say
it again. Why take a running-back when you
have two viable runners on the roster, and
lose out on the premier wide-outs available?
I just don’t get it. The +800 odds
they are getting to win the AFC South are
reasonable because you really can’t
grade this team. They won/lost 5 games last
season by a margin of 5-points. That just
don’t give me that warm, fuzzy feeling
that the betting investors seem to get when
they ogle Vince Young and the Titans.
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