NFL Football Betting Futures 2008 - AFC Quarterback Hot Seat
For all that
the AFC is chalked up to be, there are
still some major flaws on many of the
teams, which definitely factors into
sports betting and how to bet on football
cautiously. Namely, the quarterback position
is one of great risk. You screw up at this
position once, and you’re virtually
screwed for years to come. Just ask the
Cleveland Browns, who finally struck gold
in one year with two different players.
Does that mean Derek Anderson is safe?
No.
First off,
I’m taking the following
guys immediately off the hook:
Jamarcus
Russell – Has talent, but
more importantly the faith of Al Davis
Trent
Edwards – Nobody’s going
to be upset if he tanks…not that
he will
Jay
Cutler – Are
you crazy?
Vince
Young – No
receivers won’t
phase the face of the franchise one bit.
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Here are the guys that need to be worried.
Some of these guys might be online football
betting surprises, but at least being cautious
will get you thinking before you lump money
in to our sportsbook NFL futures.
Derek
Anderson – Cleveland
Browns
Anderson went simply ballistic last season
by launching the leather for 3,787 yards
passing with 29 touchdowns and 19 interceptions.
The Browns were relentless through the
air, and added Donte Stallworth to compliment
the duo of Kellen Winslow Jr. and Braylon
Edwards.
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What that means for Anderson is that he
has no excuses. Even with a contract extension
in pocket, and a trio of talented receivers,
Brady Quinn looms over his shoulder. If the
young Anderson stumbled consistently, Quinn
will be more than happy to take the reigns.
And Browns management will be more than willing
to give to him.
Browns Winning AFC Championship: +1600 (very
good value, if you feel risky)
Chad
Pennington – New
York Jets
For a guy who can’t throw the ball
farther than 17-yards, and gets picked off
every time he tries to throw an out route,
Pennington still finds himself competing
for the starting job. Is Kellen Clemens that
bad? No, but Pennington is that smart. He’s
cerebral, which is hard to find these days.
While Pennington is a very smart quarterback,
he still threw for 10 scores and 9 picks.
That’s
far better than the 5 touchdowns and 10 picks
that Clemens threw for last season. If Pennington
is shaky at all, even behind Faneca and a
revamped offensive line, Clemens will get
the ball. Especially if Mangini is in the
hot seat as well.
Jets
Winning AFC Championship: +6000 (that’s
about right…God, I hate the Jets)
Who
Knows – Baltimore
Ravens
Kyle Boller was miserable last year, throwing
for 9 scores and 10 scores on 1,743 yards
passing. Now that Air McNair has been grounded
(I know…”how original…”),
Boller looks to be the one taking the helm,
right? Wrong.
Troy Smith played far better
in the final few games for Baltimore than
Boller could ever play. Smith is a smart
player, who overcomes his stature problems
by possessing a fast release on his passes,
quick feet and by making good reads. Smith
threw for 40-for-72 attempts and scored
two touchdowns, and looked very sharp.
Smith could surprise some people this year,
which means big trouble for Boller.
If neither
of them pan out, it’s big
trouble in Baltimore for their betting backers.
Ravens
Winning AFC Championship: +2500
Carson
Palmer – Cincinnati
Bengals
“What?! Are you insane??” Nope.
Not one bit. If anything, I’m confused.
With the Bengals falling apart at the seams,
where has Palmer been this whole time? He’s
the supposed leader of a team that tanked
it last season. Now the Bengals betting faithful
are getting infinitely more concerned, especially
with the defense crumbling and Chris Henry
out the door.
If Chad Johnson
follows suit via trade, everyone will be
pointing the finger at Palmer, who obviously
couldn’t
lead a horse to water. He certainly won’t
lead the Bengals to the playoffs. And he
won’t
lead the betting faithful of Cincy to the
profit land.
Bengals
Winning AFC Championship: +2200
(they have better chances of getting more
arrests)
Philip
Rivers – San
Diego Chargers
Hey may have the good graces of management
right now, but if he can’t lead them
to the AFC Championship, it’ll be
his head that the fans are calling for.
Between Merriman, Chambers, LDT, Jammer
and everyone else on a loaded Chargers
team, Rivers has been a questionable quarterback
at best. Sure, he’s had his moments.
But when Billy Volek came out and led the
Chargers past the Colts, my questions marks
about Rivers got bigger.
If Volek can
lead this team past the Colts in the playoffs,
why can’t Rivers help
dominate this team overall? It’s just
a burning question with me. It should be
with too you before you jump all over the
Chargers in the sportsbook.
Chargers
Winning AFC Championship: +450 (They’re second to the Patriots for
a reason…Rivers isn’t it)
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