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Villanova vs. Pittsburgh Preview + Free Pick

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Posted on 01/30/2007 3:49 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff

NCAA Basketball Free Picks - Villanova at Pittsburgh

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BetUS: The Villanova Wildcats, (13-5 SU, 5-10 ATS, 7-8 O/U) have been maddeningly inconsistent all season and their last four games, illustrate this point perfectly. After beating DePaul 76-69 and Syracuse 81-71 on Jan. 16 and 19, the Wildcats dropped back-to-back contests against Rutgers, (80-68) on Jan. 23 and Notre Dame, (90-80) on Saturday.

Even worse – or better – considering on where your allegiance lies, the Wildcats are a pathetic 1-8 ATS in their last nine games.

The 18th-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers, (16-4 SU, 10-5 ATS, 7-8 O/U) were also pounded by Rutgers this past Saturday, losing to the Scarlet Knights 77-64 while getting outscored 45-25 in the second half to end their 13-game home winning streak.

The Panthers, who are 1-2 in their last three games, have been led all season by junior forward Sam Young, (18.3 ppg) while Villanova has been led by sophomore guard Scottie Reynolds, (17.2 ppg).

Pittsburgh has won five straight at home against Villanova dating back to Feb. 12, 1997.

Here’s a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NCAAB Betting Free Picks.

Key Wildcats Trends

The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. loss.

The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

The Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss.

Key Panthers Trends

The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. loss.

The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last four vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

The Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last five games following a S.U. loss.

The Under is 4-0 in Panthers last four vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

The Over is 5-0 in Panthers last five games following a S.U. loss.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

The Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last ten meetings.

Analysis: I don’t think either team is eight points better than the other in this matchup, meaning, take the Villanova Wildcats to cover the spread.

NCAAB Free Picks: Villanova + 7½ Points

07:00 PM EST NCAAB Betting Odds

Villanova +7½ -110

Pittsburgh -7½ -110

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